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Severe Severe weather threat April 17-19

Other than a couple rumbles of thunder, she was a snoozfest here. You guys to my east keep your heads on a swivel. Good luck
 
Rain Cold said:
Holy cow this rain is stubborn.
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Its weird, feels like a tropical system outside, breezy warm DP is 70 and off and on rain. Any other time I'd say this rain was going to save us..... I'm not sure this time

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metwannabe said:
One thing very concerning it seems to be clearing immediately behind the rain shield, plenty of time for destabilization

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WRAL's in-house model showed about 3 to 4 hours of clearing before the next round comes through around 6:00 here.
 
Brick Tamland said:
WRAL's in-house model showed about 3 to 4 hours of clearing before the next round comes through around 6:00 here.
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Probably right, I'm just going off of visible sat that shows clearing already behind the rain

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Ended up not being clipped, so the most interesting thing that happened was probably a 30 MPH wind gust. Most of the rumbles of thunder I'm hearing are probably originating from where that storm did go over in the county which was around Fort Gordon.

Hopefully east of me this isn't too bad.
 
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Mesoscale Discussion 0402
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1129 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019

Areas affected...Coastal Carolinas to southeast VA

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely

Valid 191629Z - 191830Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Severe threat will gradually increase through the
afternoon hours. Some tornado potential exists with damaging winds
becoming more likely later with a squall line.

DISCUSSION...Pre-frontal low-level warm advection has been primarily
responsible for ongoing band of convection across the eastern
Carolinas into southeast VA. Within this band, several long-lived
updrafts have exhibited rotation which is to be expected given the
observed environmental shear. There is some concern for isolated
supercells and tornadoes within this regime. However, a more
concentrated squall line should surge into this region ahead of the
short wave later this afternoon. Damaging winds are expected with
this convection.

..Darrow/Thompson.. 04/19/2019
 
metwannabe said:
Its weird, feels like a tropical system outside, breezy warm DP is 70 and off and on rain. Any other time I'd say this rain was going to save us..... I'm not sure this time

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70 DPs are very high here for this time of year. I think it’s coming from the high ssts.


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I was just thinking when I looked at the radar again that the storm that originated in south central GA was getting it's act together again rotation wise on radar and my mom just commented that it's tornado warned again. No longer have family in the county north of me however.
 
metwannabe said:
Its weird, feels like a tropical system outside, breezy warm DP is 70 and off and on rain. Any other time I'd say this rain was going to save us..... I'm not sure this time

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Yeah I was just saying the same to my wife. Looks very much like a tropical system. Rain is finally ending now and the sky is lightening up.
 
Last thing we want is to have the rain end now and have 5 or so hours of clearing before the next line of storms comes through.
 
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The winds are incredible in Wilkes watch out Piedmont Triad (Winston) not sure why they didn’t issue a wind advisory!? These are winds outside of the storms. Limbs are falling. Hats off to Raleigh for covering their area with one.
 
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1244 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

NCC069-101-127-183-191-195-191715-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-190419T1715Z/
Wayne NC-Nash NC-Wake NC-Johnston NC-Wilson NC-Franklin NC-
1244 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM EDT
FOR WAYNE...SOUTHWESTERN NASH...EAST CENTRAL WAKE...NORTHEASTERN
JOHNSTON...WILSON AND SOUTH CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

At 1244 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Zebulon to near Goldsboro, moving north at 55
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Goldsboro, Wilson, Zebulon, Elm City, Fremont, Walnut Creek, Bailey,
Micro, Wendell and Pine Level.
 
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Amateur looking for input here! So far in Greenville County, we’ve been pretty fortunate. I’ve lived here my whole life and think we can attribute that to rain showers before the main line.

However, I’m noticing that there is a clearing showing up now literally over the top of my house before the secondary line. What are the odds the second line intensifies more-so than it is now?


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Feels cool but humid. First lines approaching my county with the eastern batch of weather in the next half an hour. Not warned but soecial weather statement calling for winds up to 50mph.
 
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