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Severe Severe weather threat April 17-19

blueheronNC said:
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Instantaneous VAD-derived sounding at RAX (Raleigh radar site) has 0-3km SRH up above 300 now. Curved hodograph extends to 3 km layer which is the benchmark for "veer-back" disruption theory.
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VBV definitely had a effect on the storms back in Texas/Oklahoma a few days ago, for example this, storms were sheared apart, VBV today has been very weak, models were indicating it would be stronger a few days ago but weakened it over time, unfortunately, a few days ago these soundings had some very good examples of vbv EC0417BC-8138-43DD-AAB4-90B6CA27314B.jpeg
 
Brick Tamland said:
WRAL watching four different areas of rotation now. Mike Maze is doing a great job with the coverage today.
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He did an exemplary job with the play-by-play for the April 16, 2011 Raleigh tornado. Doing a fantastic job with this one as well. Surprised he hasn't been named new chief already.
 
This storm has history of producing tornado damage...for the storm in Hickory headed north.
 
Sun is almost completely out in east Johnston County, this cant be good at a time like this.
 
Man things have erupted and this cell has my attention...
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Debris indicated on radar at Dodson's Crossroads in Orange County.
 
Tornado crossed 40 and headed towards 85. Headed to more populated area.
 
No severe storms here thankfully but got almost 9" of rain! Lots of roads closed from flooding..most I've ever seen around here
 
Tornado warning for the storm to my SSW.
 
I am in HIllsborough. Very strong wind came through. Lots of trees down a couple hundred yards from my house. At least one car hit.
 
Tornado Watch
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCHES 88/91
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
428 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

NCC001-007-037-057-063-067-077-081-085-093-105-123-125-135-145-
151-153-165-167-183-200000-
/O.EXT.KRAH.TO.A.0088.000000T0000Z-190420T0000Z/

TORNADO WATCH 88, PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON, IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING AREAS

IN NORTH CAROLINA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 20 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA

ALAMANCE ANSON CHATHAM
DAVIDSON DURHAM FORSYTH
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT
HOKE LEE MONTGOMERY
MOORE ORANGE PERSON
RANDOLPH RICHMOND SCOTLAND
STANLY WAKE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ABERDEEN, ALBEMARLE, ANDERSON CREEK,
ANGIER, ANTIOCH, ARCHDALE, ASHEBORO, ASHLEY HEIGHTS, BADIN LAKE,
BETHESDA, BISCOE, BURLINGTON, BUSHY FORK, BUTNER, BYNUM,
CARRBORO, CARY, CHAPEL HILL, CONCORD, CREEDMOOR, CUMNOCK, DUNCAN,
DUNN, DURHAM, EAGLE SPRINGS, EAST ROCKINGHAM, ELDORADO, ERWIN,
GRAHAM, GREENSBORO, GUM SPRINGS, HAMLET, HASTY, HIGH POINT,
LAKE TOWNSEND, LAUREL HILL, LAURINBURG, LEXINGTON, LILLINGTON,
MONCURE, MOUNT GILEAD, OXFORD, PEKIN, PFAFFTOWN, PINEHURST,
PITTSBORO, PLYLER, POLKTON, RAEFORD, RALEIGH, RESEARCH TRIANGLE,
ROCKFISH, ROCKINGHAM, ROXBORO, SANFORD, SEVEN LAKES, SILER CITY,
SILVER CITY, SOUTHERN PINES, STANLEYVILLE, SURL, THOMASVILLE,
TIMBERLAKE, TRAMWAY, TRINITY, TROY, ULAH, WADESBORO,
AND WINSTON-SALEM.

$$
 
That Cumberland Co cell is sure trying.....if it gets going its obviously a huge threat to the Triangle....
 
The apex of that bow echo moving into sampson county probably has some crazy winds

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SD said:
All the nope
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This cell is going to pass very close to me if it doesn’t weaken or get absorbed by the line behind. I’m essentially in the eastern-most purple area in SE Wake in your image.
 
Looks like I'll miss the potential tornado but take the core of the storm instead

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@SD Hearing lots of thunder over your way.
 
Looks like EF1 type damage in Surry County NC. Barnes destroyed and heavy tree damage. Going to be a few long track tornado confirmations from Hickory NC into Virginia
 
SD said:
The wind with the storm after the tornado warned cell was nuts heard a few trees pop. You are really going to get hit hard with that cell north of lillington

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I may be 2 miles too Far East. We’ll see in a sec.
 
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