Yeah those winds at 925 are stupid, you're right any mixing will get some of that to the surface easilyIndeed we will need to get the sun out and mix. Winds even at 925 are ripping so it's but going to take a lot. I'd watch for dews to potentially mix this afternoon too there are lots of upper 50s low 60s on the models. Not sure it'll hurt storm initiation but it still raise the potential for severe wind gusts if we start getting a nice of inverted V soundings
Line looks weak af, yesterday was probably the more active day in NC
It's amazing how poor models are with timing these. I think at one point we were looking at 3-6z on this arriving.Yesterday the hrrr nailed that storm that went from Winston through Raleight and here. It didnt hit the coverage as well because it had that storm as a lone storm when there were several that developed south of it.
That said the hrrr is unimpressed with today so far. It gives us a few cells here in the east but not as robust as some of yesterdays 3k nam runs
Line looks weak af, yesterday was probably the more active day in NC
Yesterday the hrrr nailed that storm that went from Winston through Raleight and here. It didnt hit the coverage as well because it had that storm as a lone storm when there were several that developed south of it.
That said the hrrr is unimpressed with today so far. It gives us a few cells here in the east but not as robust as some of yesterdays 3k nam runs
Guess that would be typical of how things go lately. On Friday the local mets on WRAL were hyping the severe threat for today more than yesterday's. They have had a hard time lately getting these storms right.