• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Severe Severe Weather 3/27-3/28 2021

Indeed we will need to get the sun out and mix. Winds even at 925 are ripping so it's but going to take a lot. I'd watch for dews to potentially mix this afternoon too there are lots of upper 50s low 60s on the models. Not sure it'll hurt storm initiation but it still raise the potential for severe wind gusts if we start getting a nice of inverted V soundings
Yeah those winds at 925 are stupid, you're right any mixing will get some of that to the surface easily
 
Well had/have sun here on and off.. almost clear at times..Current 71/66 SW17G32 Am interested to see if the QLCS begins to "up[tick" as it moves into here. Give an idea of what may occur to the east.
 
Line looks weak af, yesterday was probably the more active day in NC

Yesterday the hrrr nailed that storm that went from Winston through Raleight and here. It didnt hit the coverage as well because it had that storm as a lone storm when there were several that developed south of it.

That said the hrrr is unimpressed with today so far. It gives us a few cells here in the east but not as robust as some of yesterdays 3k nam runs
 
Yesterday the hrrr nailed that storm that went from Winston through Raleight and here. It didnt hit the coverage as well because it had that storm as a lone storm when there were several that developed south of it.

That said the hrrr is unimpressed with today so far. It gives us a few cells here in the east but not as robust as some of yesterdays 3k nam runs
It's amazing how poor models are with timing these. I think at one point we were looking at 3-6z on this arriving.
 
The conditions outside are the kind that worry me when we're supposed to have storms. The sun is out, it's warm, and windy. Feels a lot like it did the morning of the tornadoes we had in April 2011.
 
Line looks weak af, yesterday was probably the more active day in NC
Yesterday the hrrr nailed that storm that went from Winston through Raleight and here. It didnt hit the coverage as well because it had that storm as a lone storm when there were several that developed south of it.

That said the hrrr is unimpressed with today so far. It gives us a few cells here in the east but not as robust as some of yesterdays 3k nam runs

Guess that would be typical of how things go lately. On Friday the local mets on WRAL were hyping the severe threat for today more than yesterday's. They have had a hard time lately getting these storms right.
 
Well cells are looking bit more "healthy as the move east of "I 85" into the warmer area where sun was out..
And BOOM one goes severe while I was typing
 
Guess that would be typical of how things go lately. On Friday the local mets on WRAL were hyping the severe threat for today more than yesterday's. They have had a hard time lately getting these storms right.

Line could get itself together as it moves further east I would assume. It already looks slightly better than it did earlier, at least in the southern half of the state. The potential always seemed to be greater further east anyway, so it not doing much over the Piedmont isn't all that surprising.
 
nam3km_ref_frzn_seus_9.pnghrrr_ref_frzn_seus_6.png
NAM shows a strong line of storms through the SC midlands this afternoon. HRRR not so much. HRRR seems to have initialized a little weaker than radar currently shows, but I'd still be willing to bet that we end up verifying closer to its solution.
 
HRRR is trying its absolute hardest to deletion a second line to help Charlotte and Raleigh get at least some action
 

Unfortunately saw that a few people drowned in the flooding in Nashville. Luckily up here on the rim all the water is flowing down so we don’t get to many flooding spots in White House. The big may 2010 flood I believe around 13-14 inches of rain fell here in less then 48 hrs and this area had no problems. After that I knew we’d never have to worry about flooding around here thankfully.
 
Back
Top