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Severe Severe Threat Jan 11-13 2023

Mesoscale Discussion 0055
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0100 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

Areas affected...central AL

Concerning...Tornado Watch 18...

Valid 121900Z - 122000Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 18 continues.

SUMMARY...A strong to intense tornado (~EF3) is likely ongoing
across central AL and after tornado demise, a wind-damage risk will
likely continue into east-central AL.

DISCUSSION...KBMX radar imagery shows an intense low-level
mesocyclone moving through an adequately moist/moderately buoyant
airmass across central AL. SPC data analytics indicates a
strong/intense tornado is likely ongoing across Autauga County, AL.
The area VAD/s show large hodographs with 300 m2/s2 0-0.5 km
effective SRH. The strong shear/buoyancy will likely aid in
sustaining the supercell after eventual tornado demise once the
squall line overtakes the supercell. Nonetheless, a significant
wind-damage threat and some tornado risk will likely continue into
eastern AL through the mid afternoon.
 
Damaging wind threat looks to be ramping up for ATL Metro with that line heading toward Carrollton
 
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