TripleJ185
Member
Man, wind is REALLY whipping around outside. Rain is coming down steadily.
I was about to post the same thing. Didnt the NAM suggest an insitu wedge ? I agree that from now on if even just one model is showing a wedge and no other model is, go with the model showing the wedge.If there is even the possibility of a wedge in GA, lower sever expectations significantly.
The Monday system was decent in West Georgia too. Tornado touched down in Carrollton on Monday.To be fair the Monday system in east Georgia was pretty decent severe wise. I don't remember what the maps had for that but an enhanced seems right for there in retrospect.
Maybe if this had been early May instead of early April things would have been different ? Maybe it's just too early in spring to get a good severe weather outbreak.
It's the sun angleMaybe if this had been early May instead of early April things would have been different ? Maybe it's just too early in spring to get a good severe weather outbreak.
I thought we were supposed to have bad storms overnight, though. There weren't any storms at all here. Either the timing is just off or this is a big bust with the way WRAL hyped the risk and how confident RAH was.Things are trying to get going this morning
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Everything is probably elevated across the area this morning. The sun was out at my house when I left for work, I think the best tor threat will be E of Raleigh probably along I95 where a little morning sun could aid in generating enough SB instabilitySevere thunderstorm warning for Wake County now.
SBCAPE is basically non-existent this morning but mid level lapse rates are decent in central NCEverything is probably elevated across the area this morning. The sun was out at my house when I left for work, I think the best tor threat will be E of Raleigh probably along I95 where a little morning sun could aid in generating enough SB instability
Great recipe for hail and windSBCAPE is basically non-existent this morning but mid level lapse rates are decent in central NC