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Hurricane Debby

I wouldn’t write off the possibility of this thing blowing up off the SC coast. Not into a monster, but certainly a hurricane. There isn’t any dry air to the north or a desert a few hours inland like if it was in the far western Gulf of Mexico. It’s an almost impossible scenario of seeing a strengthening TC approach the Grand Strand/SE NC from the south-west bringing wind and waves almost perpendicular to the coast vs the usual longshore fetch.
 
Could a new center form just south of Cuba? Could change things
 
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Most of the 12z models have a weak coc near the caymans later today and tonight looking at the wind barbs
 
The 12Z Euro is a bit stronger (strongest of all runs into NW FL) and still has a FL Big Bend landfall.
 
12Z Euro, which is strongest yet into the FL Big Bend, goes offshore at Brunswick and then becomes the strongest in many runs offshore the SE US with a 988 mb H. Then it turns back W and hits CHS, SC, on THU as a 989 mb H before going well inland and weakening.
 
GaWx said:
12Z Euro, which is strongest yet into the FL Big Bend, goes offshore at Brunswick and then becomes the strongest in many runs offshore the SE US with a 988 mb H. Then it turns back W and hits CHS, SC, on THU as a 989 mb H before going well inland and weakening.
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Coming to a consensus with ICON and GFS. I think it will go just west of hatteras at 100 mph.

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12Z Euro says not just a H hit at CHS but also a rainfall flooding disaster is quite possible SAV to Georgetown, SC, with 10”+ amounts and inland a bit especially SC Lowcountry. Keep in mind that that area has had well above normal rainfall the last 2 weeks. Hopefully this run is way off.
 
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GaWx said:
12Z Euro, which is strongest yet into the FL Big Bend, goes offshore at Brunswick and then becomes the strongest in many runs offshore the SE US with a 988 mb H. Then it turns back W and hits CHS, SC, on THU as a 989 mb H before going well inland and weakening.
Click to expand...
15 mb stronger than same time frame at 0Z . Trending stronger


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