The soundings out of that 10% area the SPC is concerning, solid CAPE, but also, backing winds at the sfc, nasty wind profiles 
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Severe Possible severe weather February 4th-7th
- Thread starter Darklordsuperstorm
- Start date
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
This. The soil is already drenched. We’re expecting 2-3” of additional rainfall. It won’t take much wind to uproot some trees.
Expanded ENH risk for day 2
wind outlook
wind outlook
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Level 3 getting into NC now, looks around the Charlotte area. The threat for the Triangle looks less right now, but it's supposed to come after 11:00 pm, so it might catch some folks off guard.
I agree
I said it before but wouldn’t be surprised if we see a MDT
Bama Ravens
Member
A lot of messy convection along the MS & AL coasts, and into FL panhandle. Wonder how that might impact things.
RollTide18
Member
For which areas?
From your area to mine to maybe CAE
Hmmmm
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Here we go. Enhanced risk expanded well into the SW piedmont of NC.
BufordWX
Member
Tornado warned storm in Mississippi right now south of Jackson.
NoSnowATL
Member
You can definitely see the stronger storms hug the Gulf coast. GC stealing energy as always. I was waiting to see if it was going to happen and sure looks like it.
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You can definitely see the stronger storms hug the Gulf coast. GC stealing energy as always. I was waiting to see if it was going to happen and sure looks like it.
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I don't know about that... I always heard that most of the time it has to be more of a squall line to steal moisture and energy. I could be wrong. Plus, it looks that that big area of rain is making its way N. Also, as large scale features move more north, I would imagine we'd see fewer storms over the FL peninsula.
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NoSnowATL
Member
No the rain definitely is moving N but the line of storms hugging the coast can steal some of the energy from moving N, it happens with most of the spring and summer time storms too. I feel like the squall lines die out over ATL because of timing and the mountains.
* I will add we also tend to have a CAD during some of the events that cut down on the energy as well.
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Suspicious 
Yep, it’s a confirmed tornado, CC isn’t lying
BufordWX
Member
Tomorrow looks downright nasty for Charlotte and points south. To make matters worse, these storms seem to approach the area sooner than previously thought. Right at peak heating of the day. If we see any lulls or thinning of the clouds, it's game on.
Downeastnc
Member
Probably going to be a TOG just east of Pickens, MS
PDS warned storm north of Jackson MS
Downeastnc
Member
Probably see it grow some more by the morning.....
The 18z NAM 3km really looked like it absolutely raked the southeast with severe squalls ... ominous to say the least but probably over done
looks like a tornado is on the ground, almost looks like a RIJ roaring in on the backside of the storm 
I’d watch these storms near Jackson MS 
BufordWX
Member
New tornado watch including North Alabama.
Might not. HRRR is also very ominous
Z
Zander98al
Guest
My goodness. Possible strong tornado about to move across state line.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Been watching Brett Adair's stream, they just went through some nasty rain and what they think was RFD, and they're saying that some think the Starkville dam might break.
Very heavy rain and storms right now. Tomorrow should be interesting
BufordWX
Member
Tornado on the ground near Carthage, MS.
Looks like a lot of potential for discrete cells. It’s gonna be a long night
BHS1975
Member
Huge debris signature.
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SnowNotHappen
Member
Moderate for some areas. Maybe?
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Brick Tamland
Guest
WRAL met Mike Maze said the system should strengthen as it closes in on NC tomorrow. Sounds like it could actually get worse.
BHS1975
Member
Mountains will break up the line and then it will reorganize in the piedmont as usual.
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pcbjr
Member
Want a good idea of why? Compare these (time sensitive to 2/5/20) ...
earth.nullschool.net
earth.nullschool.net
earth.nullschool.net
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earth :: a global map of wind, weather, and ocean conditions
See current wind, weather, ocean, and pollution conditions, as forecast by supercomputers, on an interactive animated map. Updated every three hours.
earth :: a global map of wind, weather, and ocean conditions
See current wind, weather, ocean, and pollution conditions, as forecast by supercomputers, on an interactive animated map. Updated every three hours.
Shaggy
Member
Lots of potential tomorrow. Doubt we see any sun with all the garbage out in front. Still with that 70kt LLJ things could get interesting.