- Jan 5, 2017
- Reaction score
Yeah been seeing EML advection with this oneWind profiles and lower forcing is screaming supercells and tornadoes, so the ceiling is much higher and it is much more dangerous than the system a few weeks ago. The factors against this being a big issue are there though. The big positive tilt trough will just pump in moisture which is both good and bad. For one the lack of forcing will reduce junk convection, but on the flip side pump in higher mid level temps possibly creating a cap that will not be broken. Definitely should be watched.
Yeah, the wind fields on the Euro are ominous. That said, in the little I've looked at suggests it may be hard to break that cap. In fact could be one of those events where if we get something big, it happens early before the warm mid level temps shut it off.