Jessy89
Member
Correct me If I’m wrong but that green line is supportive of large hail.
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Possible Severe Weather April 22nd-23rd
- Thread starter Darklordsuperstorm
- Start date
Correct me If I’m wrong but that green line is supportive of large hail.
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hopefully this the the LR nam being the LR nam, but Man... 
sounding near clt
sounding near CAE 
Sounding near ATL
don’t take this serious atm, it is the LR nam after all and often over do things, but this is something to watch, if this is still being shown by this time tomorrow, it’s time to start taking it a bit more serious
sounding near clt
sounding near CAE Sounding near ATL
don’t take this serious atm, it is the LR nam after all and often over do things, but this is something to watch, if this is still being shown by this time tomorrow, it’s time to start taking it a bit more serious
Dang, it likes flagging 4/16/98.
BufordWX
Member
No rest for the weary in central Alabama from this system rain wise. WPC already placing a moderate risk for excessive rainfall over that area for day 3.
NoSnowATL
Member
Let’s hope she stays south like the last one. If I complain about a drought please punch me in September!
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Dawgdaze22
Member
I too am confused with the threats this week
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Jessy89
Member
Odds are Nam is overhyping this event. Probably will be severe weather Thursday evening damaging wind and hail being primary threats but of course isolated tornadoes can’t be ruled out.
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Yeah, NAM did do well with the Easter system and held up to the end, but other than that, the LR NAM is suspect
You're getting cad every weekend till june bc you said to open everything up ?
NoSnowATL
Member
You're getting cad every weekend till june bc you said to open everything up
Probably, I feel like we have for months. I want some heat! I honestly don’t think the yard has been 100 % dry since October.
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We all will want cad by august
BufordWX
Member
Excuse me Nam but what the heck is this. Please tell me it’s overdoing things.
Dawgdaze22
Member
The NAM is realible inside 48 hours.
Dawgdaze22
Member
Snowflowxxl
Member
Haven't really been paying attention, but damn the NAM isn't playing around for GA thursday.
Dawgdaze22
Member
I haven’t but with you saying that i just might! What have you seen?
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BufordWX
Member
The part I don’t like is that if any severe weather occurs timing looks to be late afternoon into the evening as opposed to the middle of the night like we normally see.
BufordWX
Member
Here is a sounding for Atlanta Thursday evening from the Nam. I would still take it with a grain of salt for now until we get closer.
Dawgdaze22
Member
Geez. That’s something. Especially late afternoon like you said. Obviously a long way out
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Snowflowxxl
Member
Yep. Pretty rare that we get events here during peak hours. Will be interesting to see how it all unfolds/develops.
IF*** this is right...um...OUCH!!!
BufordWX
Member
With the way things look we want to root for this system to speed up to lessen the severe risk. Slower storm will probably lead to an increasing severe risk. That’s probably one reason the Nam looks so bad since it is currently the slowest with the system.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
It's very strange isn't it ? Why do most events happen at night or morning in GA ?
BufordWX
Member
Dawgdaze22
Member
Wow this threat seemed to really pop back up quickly
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NAM is insane and even the FV3 is no slouch. It is probably veering surface winds too quickly. Looks like another moderate to high risk threat. Much longer moisture return on this one though.
That is nuts.
Yeah the euro is certainly trending more favorable for severe.... better heights building out ahead due to the SER trying to flex and slowing the system down a bit 
gawxnative
Member
Well if you take the wording of the new Day 2.. "here we go again" for Deeps South/Gulf States....
Storm Prediction Center Mar 14, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.
www.spc.noaa.gov
BufordWX
Member
Here we go again. Large significant area too... again.
Jrips2710
Member
Strong wording from the SPC already 
Jrips2710
Member
Discussion is... alarming. Already mentions category upgrades.
BufordWX
Member
This event has really escalated quickly it feels like.
Jrips2710
Member
I was just thinking the exact same thing. Really has gone from a slight risk to something much more in 24 hours.
NAM rolling since we’re already up at 4am !
Yeah no joke if the nam is right the parameter space is similar to the Easter system, but there’s more uncertainty with this one
My goodness 
BufordWX
Member
I think it’s past my bedtime.
Sounding FMBY good night.
Sounding FMBY good night.