BufordWX
Member
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Ostrich December
- Thread starter SETNwx
- Start date
I just made my Christmas wish --> I want the current 12z CFS to become reality (start at day 12 and move forward in time):
Models: CFS — Pivotal Weather
I need all of to make the same wish. Everybody on this board would be happy.
Models: CFS — Pivotal Weather
I need all of to make the same wish. Everybody on this board would be happy.
I'll add it to my wish list.
LickWx
Member
I’m sorry what ? Europe ? Lol you realize no place on the face of the earth except the arctic itself has been as above average as Europe that last 10 years. It’s been 10 years since they got a proper cold winter month . I mean paris is having a year akin to Madrid Spain.
Good to hear from you. I haven’t seen your posts in a while.
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While you are correct (temperature wise), their winters have been very stormy with a few dry spells. In comparison to the southeast United States. This with the complexity of zonal flow from blocking over Greenland brought severe winter storms just last year.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018–19_European_winter
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You can’t unsee that run. Completely nuts doesn’t describe it.
You would think in the last frame that the snow falling in north Florida would stick around because of all the cold coming down.
This folks is what a winter map looks like:
BHS1975
Member
Wow even has Siberia paying a visit at the end. Epic weenie run.
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BHS1975
Member
Of course I'm not saying it's going to happen, but man are we due.
Brent
Member
Lol I was mad I sat out yesterday so I'm halfway considering a drive up into Oklahoma tomorrow I've been wanting to check out Tulsa lately anyway and I'm not sure if I'll go all the way to there but yeah definitely thinking about it
The only bad thing about some of that is we run the chance of suppression. I still remember December 23, 1989 and seeing those gray clouds well of to the south and east knowing that the beach was just getting buried by a blizzard while here in the Piedmont we were dealing with dry bitter cold and highs in the upper teens.
tennessee storm
Member
1
100 percent agree, especially with a strong positive pna... best big snow chances for our latitude is negative nao negative ao but a neutral to slightly negative pna, that would keep the pattern for becoming to suppressed.
Downeastnc
Member
Yeah we got 6-8" in that one, Xmas eve the low was 0 that year with a solid snow pack......
If only I got a winter pattern in Louisiana like that CFS run showed. I would be a happy man!
tennessee storm
Member
You just may be able to with pna help
BHS1975
Member
I was 14 at the time in Cape Carteret. We got 18 inches and my cousins came over from Lillington for Christmas. Good times. Bogue sound was froze over pretty far from shore. Looked like the arctic.
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Love to see it 
This looks interesting.
Was just about to post that, may do something
NCSNOW
Member
Watching this myself. We want be runing AC heading in to Christmas this year. What a Ridge on the West Coast. Curious what that energy does out in the 4 corners. Long way off. Atleast the PNA will be pos , sending down refrigerator air
Hopefully we get that NS energy to dive in and get the wave to move in correctly, that damn WAR tho 
Meh, not enough high pressure to push the 850’s further south.
That and the WAR is a pain in the ass
RVD
Meteorology Student
Like @Myfrotho704_ says, looks like there's a strong WAR at H85 in particular that forces out our cold air. Not going to work verbatim, but it's not far off. This is a good setup.
Deal with this somehow, and we'll be in business.
CMC has some very cold air coming in.
Just for fun, here’s the H5 look for the happy hour
storm we had the other day, and the look this run. Obviously a lot of key differences, but from a long wave perspective, pretty close.
storm we had the other day, and the look this run. Obviously a lot of key differences, but from a long wave perspective, pretty close.
ATLwxfan
Member
GFS is a smoldering trash heap BUT, mid Atlantic is potentially going to get hosed and get mostly rain this week, so there’s that.
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Ron Burgundy
Member
Dude.
I liked the end of the Euro with a ridge building over AK!
Euro got some coldy cold for Christmas.. no southern low like the GFS... I'll take a mix of both: 
Ollie beat me by a minute...
I want what this guy's smoking:
NCSNOW
Member
Euro and Canadian show Rain Monday in MYB, The innagural Myrtle Beach Bowl. Joy!
Preliminary Christmas Day & days off rest of 2020 outlook:
"To warm (850's) to snow
& To Cold for Golf "
Preliminary Christmas Day & days off rest of 2020 outlook:
"To warm (850's) to snow
& To Cold for Golf "
I'll hold you to it, wunderground algorithm:
Thursday Night 12/24
40% / 0.3 in
Rain showers in the evening changing to snow showers overnight. Low 33F. Winds light and variable. Chance of precip 40%.
Thursday Night 12/24
40% / 0.3 in
Rain showers in the evening changing to snow showers overnight. Low 33F. Winds light and variable. Chance of precip 40%.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
The rain is perfect for App having to go to such a crappy bowl against a team with a losing record.
SnowNiner
Member
Not liking the long range GEFS this morning. Seems to want to shift our blocking from Greenland east into just a big ole WAR. That's going to stunt/mute the cold that tries to come east as mentioned. The NAO probably goes neutralish I bet. I really want our higher heights over Hudson Bay/ Greenland, with troughiness just to the east. Don't like this look.
I had come home for Christmas from my first duty station that Christmas. I think my mom and pops got 6”, maybe a tad more. It was weird coming from southern Texas and 70’s to getting snow.
