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Ostrich December

This piece up north is going to try to keep the s/w from digging. Get a more +PNA, and have that northern piece further east, would allow it to dig, all the other models don't have it, so I'll be interesting to see how things play out. I'd attribute it to a progressive bias. However, the good
news is that the two waves continued to separate which is really important in the short-term development of this system.
gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-7817600.png
 
CMC looks ugly Already unless I’m wrong , honestly just waiting for the ECMWF given it was very close last run
 
IMO a good bit of the GEFS members look similar to the icon through Hour 120

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Short term roast.. but who knows. Warm Christmas/Late Dec calls look in jeopardy to me.. (no idea about winter storms, just looking at movement of cold).
I’m good with dry cold. I chase the cold as much as I chase the snow honestly. Love a classic Arctic outbreak in the south. Single digit cold gets me fired up. It’s been a while.
 
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