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Ostrich December
- Thread starter SETNwx
- Start date
smast16
Member
I'm gonna ALT-F4 you if you don't stop! MNGR NOW! ? ?
SnowNiner
Member
That's the ticket right there if we can make it real. Need cold, not cool. Hopefully it doesn't dump out west though. Got to keep the PNA with the -EPO IMO.
Hmmm interesting the warmer trends always being pushed back now... I’m not falling for it ..... or am I ?
Best GEFS run I've seen this winter!
AJ1013
Member
Pfft. Not a single member shows a foot of snow in Miami. Complete fail. Wake me up next winter because this one is a write off!
LickWx
Member
Incoming 84/72 days all January long for you! Might need to come down and enjoy some of that it's getting a little chilly up here!
That's more like it.
Probably looks way better because we might finnaly tap into a true source of cold with that look at H5, not Canadian crap
AJ1013
Member
It can be as warm as it wants to in January since I won't be here. Now if Metz ends up being way warmer than normal and wet I will not be a happy camper.
I really like the idea of either getting a pv lobe between hudson Bay and the Davis strait like the gfs has or getting a west based nao there.
I don’t know how many people saw this from today’s CMC.
LickWx
Member
Given western Europe’s last 10 years the odds are high that will be the case . I don’t think our southernwx buddies realize just how torchy Western Europe has been compared to even us !
Recap: It turned out to be porto-John door flapping, trash can flipping, , nose numbing, roaring windy! Many gusts had to be well into the 30s! The temp at the end of the walk was 45, meaning windchills way down around the low 30s!
Dewpoint Dan
Member
it beats walking in 95 degree heat right ?
Well, well. 00z GFS.
GEFS was actually very interesting in the medium and long range definitely CAD showing up but ice storms that have to potential to go big snow storms ... some monster storms tho in the long range just not for the south yet
Brent
Member
Finally the first freeze at the big airport although it's only about a week late
NCSNOW
Member
Hope the Euro is wrong Friday night. Rain in the 30's in Boone for the 8;30 kickoff. UGH
Euro has Tropical Storm make landfall and turn into a Mtn Snowcane late next week
Euro has Tropical Storm make landfall and turn into a Mtn Snowcane late next week
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
AJ1013
Member
59F and sunshine this morning. Finally!
That is absolutely foul.
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Low in a textbook position for many but no high pressure = no cold.
Definitely, a good look on the 00z EPS and 06z GEFS. Right now we want to see that trough axis shift southward with more blocking over the top before we get a real snow signal, although this may just be due to model dispersion. Right now we’re seeing an Anafront look.
Miller A:
Anafront.
Miller A:
Anafront.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
I am just glad we are getting cold shots and storm chances to talk about already.
Weak CAD look. Get the ridge over the GL stronger, and you’ve got a bigger deal.
Note this is the Miller-B composite.
Note this is the Miller-B composite.
SnowNiner
Member
What a beautiful Miller A map. True -NAO with a great +PNA and western ridge placement. Haven't seen that in a decade that I can recall. WAR has been with us for a very long time.
Well, it's December. Time to start watching the models for the next few weeks to look for pattern hints on the upcoming the winter. Late December into January is my gametime, now to the holiday is more like pregame. Let's see where we go from here. Step 1: Hopefully we can move the PV closer N Canada as opposed to Siberia.
NoSnowATL
Member
GFS has 2 big storms but no cold air. ?
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Yes late December and early January is normally pretty good for us! Troutman right up the road from me
Tilt the wave negatively just a little slower.
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NoSnowATL
Member
I’ve seen that ending before.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Man I love what you have done with these composites, looks beautiful. It’s actually really cool that we can look at a synoptic and planetary scale wave patterns and evaluate the types of winter storms we could see, going beyond the simpler questions of whether we may could see snow/ice or not. It’s good to see these composites standing up to model forecasts in real time even if those wintry solutions are fantasy
December look like it’s gonna produce 6-10 winter events for the mountains. Not bad. Very active pattern.
The Canadian ensembles continue to be very aggressive with their disturbing of the pv at 10mb with the gefs not quite as aggressive but still showing a nice warming and squeezing of the pv.
Obviously the models are less than ideal with their forecasts at 10mb but it's worth continuing to watch. At least in a disturbed off center state we can establish some HLB and cold shots instead of the polar buzzsaw we had last year
Obviously the models are less than ideal with their forecasts at 10mb but it's worth continuing to watch. At least in a disturbed off center state we can establish some HLB and cold shots instead of the polar buzzsaw we had last year
NoSnowATL
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist