Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Canadian just went boom
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Ostrich December
- Thread starter SETNwx
- Start date
You want that trough to press down further south for better confluence so yeah I think that’s what you mean
The confluence... 
Keep the trend going. I don’t hate it. Nice nanner high this run as well ? 
Substantial improvement from 6z on the GFS. Just look at that high pressure
A couple of thoughts from just an average joe trying to become a meteorologist ...
1. I know we’re praying on the models going colder as we close in on this system but that high pressure has me puzzled.. it’s only 1034 give or take respectively and she’s very far north to really give CAD areas a good CAD event and some good reinforcing cold air.. we would need that high a lot further south to help us out the way we want.
2. Honestly it’s been a really long time since at least for my area (triangle) has seen a significant ice storm event .. I think it’s because things usually turn to sleet around here but would be interesting to see but obviously I don’t wanna manifest trees down and power outages cause no one likes that.
3. I do at least like the trends of where we are headed I just don’t know if we will have enough time to grab that high pressure to move as far south as it needs .. one thing going for us is the wave being weaker on its initial push and then it’s transfer to the coast is definitely beneficial to CAD areas .. minimizes the eroding a low pressure west of us can do to a CAD signal
Anyway let’s real this in hopefully! SLEET STORM BABY
1. I know we’re praying on the models going colder as we close in on this system but that high pressure has me puzzled.. it’s only 1034 give or take respectively and she’s very far north to really give CAD areas a good CAD event and some good reinforcing cold air.. we would need that high a lot further south to help us out the way we want.
2. Honestly it’s been a really long time since at least for my area (triangle) has seen a significant ice storm event .. I think it’s because things usually turn to sleet around here but would be interesting to see but obviously I don’t wanna manifest trees down and power outages cause no one likes that.
3. I do at least like the trends of where we are headed I just don’t know if we will have enough time to grab that high pressure to move as far south as it needs .. one thing going for us is the wave being weaker on its initial push and then it’s transfer to the coast is definitely beneficial to CAD areas .. minimizes the eroding a low pressure west of us can do to a CAD signal
Anyway let’s real this in hopefully! SLEET STORM BABY
Only problem I see is the CMC with a Miller B-ish transfer off the Savannah coast. These transfers usually tend to happen off the NC coast in my experience. But what do I know.
It keeps improving..... 
ATLwxfan
Member
Frustrating to see a nice cold push south that just doesn’t translate east. I suppose we will settle for a cool rain.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
I mean I’ll take a weenie run inside d7. I’m all for it 
Avalanche
Member
Current temp and dp at onset?
13 is my only hope lol!
SWVAwxfan
Member
Looks like a good hit for my area.
SWVAwxfan
Member
Columbia being right on the line rarely works out. Coming from a 45 years living there. This would be a classic Winnsboro, Newberry ice storm.
I guess we better be posting snow and ICE accumulation maps with this lil guy .. anyone have cmc ice Accums?
Worth nothing the CMC is cold biased so it would probably be more ice than what it showed
GEFS ptype average. ?
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Indian Trail winning.You'd never believe it but the CMC has a >1" of ice
