Mr. Golf
Member
12z euro. Those are highs but it's still in lala land
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October Odyssey
- Thread starter Myfrotho704_
- Start date
Brent
Member
Two different seasons on the forecast lol
Wow..... 
I'm so ready for the cold shot Friday/Saturday.
My precious
The GFS agrees with the ICON along with the the Canadian. All have widespread 30s for low. The GFS does have lower dewpoints (in the lower to mid 20s area wide). This actually could be bad; whereas we actually want dewpoints closer to the actual surface temp to be able to get frost. Kind of a double edged sword.
The euro is about 10 degrees warmer than most others.
Euro keeps the wind up with gusts around 10 overnight Saturday night. If we go calm I could easily see 32-34 but if the wind stays up it'll be pretty underwhelming and around 40. Either way likely the coldest night so far this season
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Severe threat up here today! Then winter comes later in the week
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Oh hi
BufordWX
Member
Looking on the bright side. Barring anything unexpected, this should be the last 90 degree day for a while.
It's a shame that I would take the last 6 days of this forecast in winter
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
And just like 99% of the time this year, the severe threat for today is removed from the Triangle and stays to the south and east.
??
NCSNOW
Member
Wow at the rains. Crossed the yadkin today and it was way out of its banks
Brent
Member
"Only" 94 here so far there was talk of getting close to the record of 99 earlier today
October sun angle ftw
October sun angle ftw
Hopefully this is the last time you see 90 until next spring"Only" 94 here so far there was talk of getting close to the record of 99 earlier today
October sun angle ftw
Brent
Member
Wednesday may be close but still it really hasn't been that bad lately overall the last day it was this hot was like in late August after Laura (something about hurricanes going east of us)...
Big rains!
Davis Vantage Vue- 3.49"
WeatherFlow- 3.23"
Snow/Ice coming in November!!! ❄
Davis Vantage Vue- 3.49"
WeatherFlow- 3.23"
Snow/Ice coming in November!!! ❄
LickWx
Member
Looks like my prediction for the first freeze on October 18 may happen . Also I am going to a star viewing event at Medoc mountain state park where they will have all these large telescopes to use on the 17th which is perfectly timed with the cold dry air ! Literally couldn’t ask for better viewing conditions .
GFS downright chilly past next weekend
60/40 predicted for Friday... Get Me There.
Widespread 40s, legit Porn: 
CMC is legit close to a winter storm 
BufordWX
Member
Cold front coming through right now. Snapped a quick picture of the strip of clouds associated with it. I’m in bed currently and saw it out the window so sorry the picture looks a little ugly. Now that it has passed it is crazy hearing the winds absolutely roaring out there. Lol
Blue norther?
RAH mentioned a chance of frost again in their overnight discussion. The Canadian seems to be the colder model in terms of dewpoints (upper 20s and lower 30s board-wide). The GFS is next with a lot of lower to mid 30s. And the European continues to be the warmest (again with dewpoints). RAH weather graph is showing a dewpoint to low temperature difference of 4-5 degrees. Meaning a dewpoint of 37 is giving a low of ~ 41. They look to be following the European right now (at least for the RDU area). Lets hope the European is a little too warm.
I could see that bringing some wrap around snow to the mountains of NC and VA, but I doubt a low in that position would have much in the way of precipitation into the Piedmont
The Euro is usually a little too warm with overnight lows in good radiational cooling conditions.
Really looking like RDU doesn't make it out of the 50s on Saturday.
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This is one more for the Canadian (..as posted by Myfrotho above). This is for 18z this Saturday. Temps would be falling into the 40s for central NC as temps are still in the upper 60s in NYC to Boston. For us that's more like a Thanksgiving day.
Here's a great summary of the US pattern/forecast and other areas from a pro met, Eric Snodgrass. No hype. or BS..just the facts with lots of good and interesting info with an agricultural emphasis. If you have time, it is well worth a listen:
LickWx
Member
To those using the Canadian, I don't trust that model a single bit. Its always way too cold. It has not seen a cold front it didnt think had potential to smash records.
Let's track the cmc vs gfs vs icon vs Euro for this weekend at RDU
BufordWX
Member
Yep, temperature today is about 25 degrees lower then yesterday. The winds were tremendous when it came through. I also saw a few reports of “blowing dust” in the area and I think I saw some too because the visibility took a noticeable hit after the front passed by. Makes sense given the dry conditions to the west. I’m outside right now and it is windy as heck still. Loving it!
LickWx
Member
Well it is kind of raining on the cmc
LickWx
Member
Yeah but none of the other models show that rain, they show nice sunny dry conditions. Plus if we back out the view to the entire CONUS, Canadian has some crazy pinks all across the central part of the nation, -30 anomalies whereas the GFS and Euro show nothing that close. I dont know what it is about the Canadian and its tendency to go overboard on cold every cold front. Canadians I guess, they know nothing but the cold.