Severe weather looms on DAY 5/6
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Pattern November Knock-Out
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
Euro must have been a real pissah! 
That's usually a prelude to an arctic outbreak, I'm all in! Ten days after thunder in fall/winter, we get snow! Just ask Brick!
whatalife
Moderator
pcbjr
Member
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NorthGaWinter4
Member
18z is nice and cold.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Didn't make the projected high even though it was sunny all day. I was surprised at how cool it felt even midafternoon.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
If Goofy is right, if I didn't get the first freeze in October I definitely will next Monday.
Don't tell TN Storm! He's on that warm train, and it's about to come off the track! GB is the conductor and engineer!
pcbjr
Member
Understanding that folks hate links and prefer graphics, unfortunately posting a 15 day ensemble with all the members would take up pages. So, here you go: link, load and scroll - the 12Z GFS ensemble isn't giving up on us SE folks (there's always tomorrow for dispair, but for now, still hanging tough) ... (PSU doen't have the 18Z) ...
http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSTDEP2WIDE_12z/tloop.html
For example:
and
http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSTDEP2WIDE_12z/tloop.html
For example:
and
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tennessee storm
Member
your just to funny... lol... we will see.... i hope we have a great winter... whatever it is or going to be... going be a front loaded winter... next rosby wave to come through in the pacific. looks to boost this nina pretty good.... moderate nina looking more likely by january.... just being brutally honest.... hope for the best stillDon't tell TN Storm! He's on that warm train, and it's about to come off the track! GB is the conductor and engineer!
All I see is lots of blue in the East and South! Keep em coming!!Understanding that folks hate links and prefer graphics, unfortunately posting a 15 day ensemble with all the members would take up pages. So, here you go: link, load and scroll - the 12Z GFS ensemble isn't giving up on us SE folks (there's always tomorrow for dispair, but for now, still hanging tough) ... (PSU doen't have the 18Z) ...
http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSTDEP2WIDE_12z/tloop.html
For example:
and
pcbjr
Member
If God were to give me the magic wand, I would until April, with another dose in May, June and July ...
... but unless something changes, I wouldn't go too far out on a limb after December ...
GeorgiaGirl
Member
The only bad thing about the 18z was that it warms up after a while, but it did so in fantasy land so maybe that isn't there in this run haha.
Is warming up necessarily a bad thing ? Normal or above normal temps this time of year are pretty comfy.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Not really haha. It's not the worst thing in the world.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
0z Gfs has snow in Tennessee right before looney land begins hehe.
And as thought, the warmup is replaced with the hammer dropping cold wise.
And as thought, the warmup is replaced with the hammer dropping cold wise.
NorthGaWinter4
Member
Yup that’s a good cold run
Brent
Member
sooner or later one of these cold snaps will verify
the Thanksgiving idea does get credit for being fairly consistent
and its fairly close to my freeze prediction for Dallas
the Thanksgiving idea does get credit for being fairly consistent
and its fairly close to my freeze prediction for Dallas
NWMSGuy
Member
SPC currently backing off of Friday’s original highlighted area for potential Severe Weather.