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Pattern November Knock-Out

Storm5 said:
Headed to the mountains that weekend I can assure you it will be sunny and 70s region wide
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It's not a fantasy storm until DGEX spits out 25" bullseyes from ATL to GSP!
 
Alot of us bank on winter for model watching crazy entertainment and models come down and all signs show good for snow and then all that's kinda falls flat the day of or day before... that's been trend for most in south past few years I suppose people a lil on edge for their dream blizzard at this point.
 
Storm5 said:
Hell, if it only were December. That's a beaut on the 12z Euro for sure
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It will be by the time that actually happens! #RUSHEDPATTERNCHANGEBYMODELS
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
Didn't make the projected high even though it was sunny all day. I was surprised at how cool it felt even midafternoon.
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My projected high was 52 yesterday but the sun never came out so temps never made it out of the 40s. I believe 47 was the high which is 12 degrees below normal for my area. I love this weather!
 
metwannabe said:
I swear if we don't have a decent winter with a good winter storm or two board wide this place is going to go completely bonkers....
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I don't know. I wouldn't mind days like today for the majority of the winter. 60s and sunshine feels great !
 
olhausen said:
My projected high was 52 yesterday but the sun never came out so temps never made it out of the 40s. I believe 47 was the high which is 12 degrees below normal for my area. I love this weather!
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I don't mind a cloudy day every now and then but I prefer the sun to be out. especially in the colder months. Unless of course if its summer then I wouldn't mind it being cloudy because it would make it cooler.
 
GaWx said:
The Arctic continues to be MUCH colder than it was last autumn with it now being 16F colder than it was a year ago! Also, it continues to get closer and closer to normal with it now being only 3 F warmer than normal vs 19 warmer than normal one year ago today and vs a whopping 34 warmer than normal on 11/19/16!! (No that's not a typo.)

Arctic temp. graph day by day for 2017: http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2017.png

Arctic temp. graph day by day for 2016: http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2016.png

The Arctic has not had any colder than normal days **in winter** (other than ~1-2 colder on a couple of days) in 3 years and no sustained significant colder than normal in more than 15 years! So, just averaging close to normal for a decent period would be a big victory in this day and age.
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I don't like to just put out "good" news as I want to be perceived as fair and balanced. Today's Arctic update is plain bad as it warmed a whopping 8 F today!

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2017.png

The good news is that it is still 16F colder than one year ago today because it also warmed sharply at this time last year:

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2016.png
 
GaWx said:
I don't like to just put out "good" news as I want to be perceived as fair and balanced. Today's Arctic update is plain bad as it warmed a whopping 8 F today!

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2017.png

The good news is that it is still 16F colder than one year ago today because it also warmed sharply at this time last year:

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2016.png
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Fair and balanced. Nice! Now if we could get the media to do the same for both sides.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
For those wanting a chilly rest of the month, you'd better hope that the last 3 EPS runs don't verify closely as they're much warmer than the last few GEFS/GFS runs for the day 10+ period.
 
What did the Euro show? Cant pull up site right now.
 
GaWx said:
For those wanting a chilly rest of the month, you'd better hope that the last 3 EPS runs don't verify closely as they're much warmer than the last few GEFS/GFS runs for the day 10+ period.
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And here comes reality, Arctic is warming, models are warming, winter was fun... now time for spring..... kidding, don’t attack.
 
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