Brent
Member
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Pattern November 2024 💤 🔥
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
pretty good model agreement on fairly widespread 0.8-1.2"+ tomorrow/tomorrow night for a good chunk of NC/S VA. TN, northern half of GA, much of AL/MS as well. orographic help could produce some 3-4"+ spots in WNC, esp the smokies & NC/SC border escarpment.
Love to see a -NAO block that retrogrades into a Central/western Canada ridge and dumps BN heights to our NE 
gefs trying to get interesting after the big cold trough. That footprint of high pressure out of AK is classic 
One day we will get a look similar to this with a legitimate consolidated southern wave and 50/50 low and it will snow again.
Cool watching the GFS get even more amplified with the longwave pattern next week. Worth noting the EC AI looks like it had wet snow from a upper level low across the mid portions of the SE 
Brent
Member
The middle to latter part
of next week continues to be fraught with uncertainty given
plenty of inconsistencies from run-to-run and from model-to-model
on the eventual location of the closed low forecast to develop in
the central or eastern United States. Winter weather is still on
the table for the latter part of next week, depending on where the
low sets up - although at this point, impactful winter weather
chances in eastern Oklahoma and northwest/west central Arkansas
appear very low.
of next week continues to be fraught with uncertainty given
plenty of inconsistencies from run-to-run and from model-to-model
on the eventual location of the closed low forecast to develop in
the central or eastern United States. Winter weather is still on
the table for the latter part of next week, depending on where the
low sets up - although at this point, impactful winter weather
chances in eastern Oklahoma and northwest/west central Arkansas
appear very low.
Carolina Sky
Member
Other than snow there is not much better than a good rain after a drought. 51.6 with .54” in the bucket. Rainy night in Georgia.
It’s over boys. On to the next pattern head fake 
jeremyt
Member
Until the next model run! I respect your input but model to model run when they can’t get the current days correct is as asinine . It’s like anyone believing the past few with blocking and colder temps!
I know, I was just joking lol. But the flashbacks to previous western dumps is playing in my head with that run
jeremyt
Member
Hard not to with the past few years man! I’m picking up what your putting down!
Avalanche
Member
Hopefully we end the month not too cold. A lot of people haven’t stocked up on their firewood, and the energy costs of heating cripples the poor. It’s best we stay the course we’re on. Plenty of time for cold in January.
.06”
Looks like more headed your way. I was hoping for a half inch out of this, looks like maybe .1 or .2 if I’m lucky now.
Last edited:
Brent
Member
I guess it was about time
jeremyt
Member
Any severe on the frontal?
GFS has a slug of tropical moisture in the GOM which seemingly robs instability and moisture, CMC to me looks far more interesting for severe wx