Not looking good for Thanksgiving revenue at the southern ski resorts.Another week, another torch babyyyView attachment 137838View attachment 137839View attachment 137840
It actually looks like they might have a fairly decent Thanksgiving this year. There’s going to be some cold enough nights to make snow early to mid next week. Then after the warm shot next weekend, another cool shot comes in and they should be able to make snow every night during the week of Thanksgiving through the weekend.Not looking good for Thanksgiving revenue at the southern ski resorts.
Looking like we going get enjoy our turkey dinner out on the back patio this year … .Another week, another torch babyyyView attachment 137838View attachment 137839View attachment 137840
Right now it looks like things cool off for Thanksgiving. The GEFS has temperatures just slightly below to average for the holiday… actually perfect for the backyard football games. Kinda following in line with the roller coaster the temps have been on the last couple of weeks.Looking like we going get enjoy our turkey dinner out on the back patio this year … .
GSP said in its morning discussion that there should be a 20-25F temperature spread from NE to SW across it’s forecast region my late this afternoon… nothing like a backdoor front.Dropped from 50 to 41 in the last 90 minutes with rain in Winchester Va. Nearly 70 yesterday. It was 81 at IAD. They need the rain.
Finally a day that feels like November in Virginia.Fairly solid rain in Blacksburg Va right now, definitely needed this. Just wish it wasn’t happening as I’m walking around campus
Don’t know , gets hasn’t been on its game as lateRight now it looks like things cool off for Thanksgiving. The GEFS has temperatures just slightly below to average for the holiday… actually perfect for the backyard football games. Kinda following in line with the roller coaster the temps have been on the last couple of weeks.
What??? The GEFS has been doing very good lately. It’s been consistent without big swings or big spreads, and it been fairly accurate in the 10-15 day range.Don’t know , gets hasn’t been on its game as late
I had hoped the ridge out west would respond like the 6z gefs and we would dump cold around Thanksgiving into the very early early part of December before a pretty dramatic flip to warm. Now with the eps and geps losing that ridge signal I think we are at the mercy of wave timing and transient wedging for Thanksgiving. I'd go 63/38 as an early call but the window of possibility for highs is probably 46-76Right now it looks like things cool off for Thanksgiving. The GEFS has temperatures just slightly below to average for the holiday… actually perfect for the backyard football games. Kinda following in line with the roller coaster the temps have been on the last couple of weeks.
What??? The GEFS has been doing very good lately. It’s been consistent without big swings or big spreads, and it been fairly accurate in the 10-15 day
Had some flaws lately … like. MostWhat??? The GEFS has been doing very good lately. It’s been consistent without big swings or big spreads, and it been fairly accurate in the 10-15 day range.
He only like the EPS model ???Had some flaws lately … like. Most
Had a nice drought busting deluge today with 0.03" of precip. Sigh.
Sure that change. Way out fantasyView attachment 137858Happy Thanksgiving
This isn't Thanksgiving is it ?View attachment 137858Happy Thanksgiving
Day after. Black Friday, which happens be my birthday lolThis isn't Thanksgiving is it ?
I know. Water restrictions coming our way soonWe had a whopping .05" of rain today.
18Z NAM3k gives us a whiff early tomorrow morning (12-3am)
That’s ok, next week chance should put us in a better spotWe had a whopping .05" of rain today.
18Z NAM3k gives us a whiff early tomorrow morning (12-3am)
Welcome back; now this is the Fro I know and love. Bring the positivity and good stuff! ?Latter part of the month looks like a -EPO/-PNA/Canadian block kind of pattern. Could be legit cold around, could be record breaking temps, could be a little of both. CMCE/EPS has a badly tilted -EPO with a -PNA while the gefs has a +PNA/-EPO and sort of has the first legit pattern that would be able to produce. In some ways looks similar to dec 2017 View attachment 137861
This is what your posts should always look like.Latter part of the month looks like a -EPO/-PNA/Canadian block kind of pattern. Could be legit cold around, could be record breaking temps, could be a little of both. CMCE/EPS has a badly tilted -EPO with a -PNA while the gefs has a +PNA/-EPO and sort of has the first legit pattern that would be able to produce. In some ways looks similar to dec 2017 View attachment 137861
I think there's going to be two more rounds come through supposedly.Yea, major bust on precip totals on our local forecast (Spann)....but the models were actually pretty good the last 24 hours at showing nothing more than heavy sprinkles
If only this were about 250 hours closer lol
As well as the GEFS has done lately, I would still lean towards the EPS when they’re showing those type of differences. I think any +PNA would be transient like the couple times we’ve seen lately.Latter part of the month looks like a -EPO/-PNA/Canadian block kind of pattern. Could be legit cold around, could be record breaking temps, could be a little of both. CMCE/EPS has a badly tilted -EPO with a -PNA while the gefs has a +PNA/-EPO and sort of has the first legit pattern that would be able to produce. In some ways looks similar to dec 2017 View attachment 137861
Wrong side of the mountains
It’s a step down process!Wrong side of the mountains
Euro and some other models are hinting at storms in La La land. Good signsI dunno if anything will actually happen but I'm officially intrigued by the Thanksgiving weekend timeframe here. Yeah I know it's fantasy land but that is not the first GFS run that has shown something and more importantly ive heard the teleconnections may be favorable for wintry
Models can’t handle the atmospheric changes that are associated with a coming pattern change. There will be wild swings until it finally sees the cold pattern that sets up around thanksgivingThe long range GFS is a roller coaster ride. Warm then cold, warm again and so on. At least some snow for many of us around Thanksgiving and a major storm inbound at 384. Middle to late next week looking wet on the GFS too for many of us. A long way out of course, but that 384 system may be trouble if it verifies.