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Pattern November 2022

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???

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_42.png
GFS is always consistent, usually consistently wrong but consistent none the less.....

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Finally getting some rain today will be a sight for sore eyes.. hoping we can be along a boundary of training showers to help get us to maybe an inch of rain? Here’s to hoping!
 
12z Euro has that covered. It’s been further west with the heaviest rain than then the GFS the last few runs. Would be a tough break if this happens.View attachment 123326

12z Euro just sped up the weekend system significantly. Now shows hardly any rain in and around OKC as the heaviest rain misses us to the east. LolB2F25D31-4B76-4096-8AD3-116759467846.png
 
12z Euro just sped up the weekend system significantly. Now shows hardly any rain in and around OKC as the heaviest rain misses us to the east. LolView attachment 123341

That would fit the pattern of late unfortunately. Honestly I'm not even overly convinced here I could see it all being from a line or something for a few hours like last Monday
 
The 18z ICON now has the front crossing the Mississippi River by Friday night. At this point I wouldn’t even be surprised to see that actually happen. 18z GFS is still further west, but I’m getting a feeling that this is gonna have further eastward shifts. Lol28F39BF6-BECC-4001-89F6-41D6B036DDD5.pngA5243B37-F02F-4193-B142-8B8EC9C9A5BE.png
 
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Look I know it’s a 384 hour gfs image which means it has 0% chance of happening…. However we are thinking this could be getting around the timeframe for the switch, which many have talked about. (Talk about an impressive amount of blocking)
 
Thought the GFS was completely off it's rocker the other day but again, all models showing some form of retrograding low end of next week, could be a decent rain maker for SE. If it occurs might get some interaction with incoming trough too have to see how all that plays out

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_seus_54.png


gem_mslp_pcpn_seus_32.png


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Thought the GFS was completely off it's rocker the other day but again, all models showing some form of retrograding low end of next week, could be a decent rain maker for SE. If it occurs might get some interaction with incoming trough too have to see how all that plays out

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_seus_54.png


gem_mslp_pcpn_seus_32.png


gfs_mslp_pcpn_seus_30.png
better hope its right because thats the only real rain game in town for us on the 12z run. even then it kept most of the heavy stuff to our south and oiff the coast
 
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