Wintry Nov 30-Dec 1 Flurries/Snow Showers

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Womp View attachment 53698View attachment 53699

Rain in the mountains? Yeah no

 

[BufordWX]

GEFS getting interesting.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Looks like the gefs looks way better for some stuff with wave 1/ULL

 

[Webberweather53]

Good lord, the +PNA is on crack. We are eventually going to pot something substantial the longer this pattern sticks around.

 

[Webberweather53]

GEFS getting interesting.View attachment 53700View attachment 53701

This is encouraging to see, coarse gridded global models usually don't handle (& often grossly underestimate) convective precip underneath upper lows.

 

[jackendrickwx]

So what's causing the upstate snowhole in this setup? (Not trying to be a mby question, just don't get it) Is it just a dryslot?

 

[Webberweather53]

So what's causing the upstate snowhole in this setup? (Not trying to be a mby question, just don't get it) Is it just a dryslot?

Almost certainly downsloping & just not the most favorable synoptic configuration on NWP, downsloping will be maximized over upstate SC when you're underneath deep layer NWly flow.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

?

 

[Webberweather53]

The GFS ensemble is also trending southwestward w/ our first wave in the medium range, things are gonna get real juicy if this trend continues even another run or two.

 

[Webberweather53]

?
View attachment 53703

Lol ------ u beat me to it

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Can the sfc temps respond please, that’s a good sounding if you can lower sfc tempsView attachment 53685

I could see a scenario where if the precip trends to being more convective in nature, then I could see heavy precip rates in the strongest bursts end up becoming heavy snow squalls

 

[ForsythSnow]

GEFS getting interesting.View attachment 53700View attachment 53701

I'll take 14 out of 20 members showing flakes in December

at the very least.

 

[olhausen]

Definitely best chance of an accumulating snow in December I’ve seen for middle Tennessee since December 2010. euro brings frozen precip in on Monday morning which is not that far out. But this Type of system is obviously going to be tricky and some could get a ton while others get very little.

I made an edit of this post as it originally said best chance of snow for mid tenn since December 2010. Obviously it would be real sad if it had been 10 years since we had a chance of snow, lol. It was late and I meant to say best chance of snow in December for mid Tennessee since December 2010.

 

[Dawgdaze22]

Is the first wave also becoming a bigger player now? Seems to be trending that way


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[Ollie Williams]

SMH only one member has something close to snow, too much WAA like the CMC.

 

[Downeastnc]

I am fond of early Dec snowstorms.....probably the second or third best storm of my life happened in early Dec back in 2000....no danger of a repeat of that though this year.....still loving that cold air the models have the first few weeks of the month....also if we can get this pattern to repeat a few times over the winter we could see some significant payouts for some folks....

 

[carolinachaos]

I still wish for a repeat of that feb 16 2013 MCV snow squall event, hehe, don’t know if we’ll ever repeat this hot stuff View attachment 53662

I was traveling between Charlotte and Florence and and Florence ended up with 2” from this.


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[Myfrotho704_]

UK ?

 

[Ollie Williams]

UK ?View attachment 53711

Snow into AL.

 

[Broken024]

UK ?View attachment 53711

Got precip maps for uk?