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Wintry Nov 12-13 Cold & Light Mix

Mean is juicing up for LA/MS
GEFSSE_prec_meansnacc_072.png
 
Cadi40 said:
I think a lot of you will be disappointed with the outcome per usual, including myself.
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We are always ready for disappointment, but someone gonna see snow, sleet, and a little freezing rain and those people will be happy
 
NWS upping totals out this way. Looking for .5-1inch of snow and I’d call it a complete win!

low temp Wednesday is 14 as of now.3E771868-5CAC-4BC1-AFB3-F3EF3A32E28F.jpeg
 
Webberweather53 said:
ed) w/ deep Aleutian vortex, +PNA ridge and shortwaves undercutting the ridge within the subtropical jet. Also notice the -NAO precursor pattern is beginning to setup over Scandinavia.
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Snowfan said:
namconus_asnow_seus_18.png

NAM was better this run.
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The first NAMing of this season lol. In all seriousness all of the five inches spots must be ip/zr right?
 
All the short range models are going bonkers... WRF, HRRR,RAP all have more winter precip making thru AL into GA
 
accu35 said:
Gefs has been showing this consistently for couple days now.
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Well they've had a few hints and members showing better results... lets see how much this turns over next 24 hours could be a little surprise rare overrunning event that gives the rare win for winter weather and not other way around
 
I dont believe the icon shows any other frozen stuff except snow.
 
Short range models starting to look like my area of Florida Parishes (south LA between MS River and the MS state border) might actually get some sleet at the back edge of precip. One thing to watch is whether the precip shield might overperform. I remember at least two events in January 2014 when the precip was supposed to have cut off behind the arctic front but didn't, and we got surprised by IP/ZR. Will be very interesting to watch how this plays out for Tue morning.
 
Usmeagle2005 said:
All of us in Mississippi would agree!
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I think the reason is that this model speeds up the timing of the arctic front by a couple hours ahead of the NAM, allowing the precip to change over to snow and sleet sooner. The temps also look a little colder on that model, taking BTR down into the upper 20s in the mid morning, for instance.
 
Will Rossman said:
I guess some of us down here are just so desperate to cash in early in the season with SOMETHING frozen that we grab onto any comers in the forecast. I'm just speaking for myself though.
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Yea, I don’t want a ice storm but just want to see ice on the trees or something, but yea desperate. ?
 
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