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Naughty November

Honestly hoping we can limit any severe weather for the time being. With a La Niña in play Spring will have its fair share of storms.

What made me really not like that euro run063D1E1A-B6BD-4BE7-B88F-7B3F8B9A40C5.jpegD67C7C50-5007-491F-9E05-3CA87F06A313.jpeg
Thanks goodness it’s the D10 euro and it’s been flopping harder than harden the last few days, so not worried about that look rn
 
Strongly suspect that the intense subtropical jet we're going to see in the extended is closely linked to the +PMM forcing moist convection anomalies in the off-equatorial central Pacific. Notice the excess precipitation southwest of Hawaii is co-located w/ the right entrance region of the subtropical jet.

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Copied this off Dacula site as i was thumbing around looking for the EPO index/forecast: This shows / illustartes how crucial it is imo to look for a -EPO or +PNA. These are way more beneficial TC's for us in the SE than the AO or NAO. Not that those don't help.

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