Pattern Muddy March 2021

[Myfrotho704_]

Holy crap the CMC just topped the v16 with 588dm heights well into NC, I feel like I’m the only one loving this

 

[Webberweather53]

I’m surprised nobody brought up this setup in comparison to the close one off the coast. This is the #1 reason I don’t buy into the inevitable NW trend several days out. I would rather be bullseyed.

Wintry - March 05-06th 2019 Wintry Weather

Since we are within 5 days, and the topic is dominating the March pattern thread, here you go.

southernwx.com

View attachment 77895

If I remember correctly this was a straight overrunning event I expected it to come north but never did but thankfully I chased

 

[Myfrotho704_]

If I remember correctly this was a straight overrunning event I expected it to come north but never did but thankfully I chased

That thing had a 40+ DBZ band right ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That thing had a 40+ DBZ band right ?

???

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Morch ?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Short to mid range is looking torchy but mid to long range is definitely looking like a cold period that can produce some wintry weather after .. fun times we get all types of weather this time of year to track

 

[Myfrotho704_]

?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Oh no

 

[WxGSO]

?View attachment 77902View attachment 77903

Bring it!! Tired of the moderate cold and no warm ups. A few warm days will be nice. I know it probably won't last, but I'm going to enjoy it!

 

[LickWx]

Bring it!! Tired of the moderate cold and no warm ups. A few warm days will be nice. I know it probably won't last, but I'm going to enjoy it!

April’s coming ! The warmth is coming regardless of what any weenie says ! It’s an unstoppable force now .

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Some pretty wild stuff showing up on the GFS pair starting around mid month. Very volatile and cutoff-ish.

 

[cd2play]

Some pretty wild stuff showing up on the GFS pair starting around mid month. Very volatile and cutoff-ish.

I hope that doesn’t spell multi-day severe weather threats.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

P r o g r e s s i v e b i a s

 

[ryan1234]

I hope that doesn’t spell multi-day severe weather threats.

'Tis the season. March is one of my favorite month because you can literally have all 4 seasons within a weeks span.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

P r o g r e s s i v e b i a s View attachment 77905

I guess the reason why we haven’t really seen much severe runs even with a big SE ridge, is those Lower heights in the Caribbean, which ruins the good moisture return, as the flow is originating from there, moisture return is a big issue the next week or so wrt severe wx, once that stuff relaxes/ ends completely then those 70 dews should be creeping into the GOM again

 

[Myfrotho704_]

ICON is already warmer then last run given The trends with the ULT going ots quicker

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That huge B.C ridge Is gonna try to put a big dent on the ongoing warmup, icon went to this solution now

 

[Tarheel1]

???

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is a pattern that could easily turn into severe wx, I’ve said it before but leaving cutoffs in the southwest is trouble, because typically they get picked up by a western trough over time

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is a pattern that could easily turn into severe wx, I’ve said it before but leaving cutoffs in the southwest is trouble, because typically they get picked up by a western trough over time View attachment 77908

Lol example