Pattern Muddy March 2021

[Myfrotho704_]

I don’t want to post this in severe thread given there’s something much more serious and dangerous to the SW but wtf !!!

 

[jackendrickwx]

I don’t want to post this in severe thread given there’s something much more serious and dangerous the the SW but wtf !!! View attachment 80332View attachment 80333

wtf? where did this come from

 

[SD]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

wtf? where did this come from

Looks like there might be some sort of RFD dominant supercell/bow along a boundary

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s interesting because for the aft stuff you would think that’s not a impressive sounding, but I’ve seen supercells with this sort of environment before, esp along a boundary with impressive critical angles and 3km shear
Makes me wonder if we squeeze out a Low precipitation supercell/structured one with this look given ventilation aloft and inverted Vs and backed flow in low levels

 

[Chazwin]

I

I don’t want to post this in severe thread given there’s something much more serious and dangerous to the SW but wtf !!! View attachment 80332View attachment 80333

f that holds that might be worth a chase this evening

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Nam doesn’t have a impressive storm but it has a better environment ?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Nam doesn’t have a impressive storm but it has a better environment ?View attachment 80348View attachment 80349View attachment 80350View attachment 80351

You know what that means... NOWCAST

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Woah that’s a sick looking bow echo, almost looks like a mini MCS

 

[SD]

Woah that’s a sick looking bow echo, almost looks like a mini MCSView attachment 80352

I think that may be what's happening here

 

[ryan1234]

Should we open a new thread for our area's for today and then again on Sunday? Definitely don't want to post on the main severe weather event today.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I think that may be what's happening here

Sounding definitely supports strong downdrafts given steep low level lapse rates, interesting Hodograph
What we’re seeing in N AL is probably a good example of what the hrrr is trying to show

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Well that was a disappointing set of NAM runs for sat evening

 

[Myfrotho704_]

damaging winds might be a issue with this

 

[ryan1234]

Surprised that GSP only has 30% POPs today given that line in AL/GA. We're about to destabilize in a little while as well after this first band of rain moves north. Also, kind of surprised that SPC doesn't have the mrgl area a little more east based on current modeling.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That directional shear is very very impressive

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Looks like the HRW-FV3 (which is very similar to the HRRR) fires up supercells Saturday evening across NC/SC

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Looks like the HRW-FV3 (which is very similar to the HRRR) fires up supercells Saturday evening across NC/SC

Looks like one ones in SC are SB based and the ones in NC are elevated

 

[SD]

Winner

 

[Myfrotho704_]

There’s the storm that keeps popping up on the HRRR in SC/NC