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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

Wow... the dreaded rear back with the 32 line over SC. Jesus.. That would be a decent band of snow over SC.. I guess temps being a issue for us down here is also becoming a trend with more precip.

Ugh! My thoughts, exactly.
 
Here’s a little interesting take on how it will be difficult to pinpoint exact snow totals for the Monday night Tuesday clipper.

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That's an important note about travel issues as well, 28 degrees and a dusting of snow is quite different from 34 degrees and a dusting of snow. Wouldn't take much for it to stick to the roads.
 
Euro looks a lot like the ICON with the snow becoming rain as the line passes Clarks Hill/Thurmond...I wonder what's up with that? I don't think there's any issue with the surface as there is westward either.

It's not like what I've said before, while it's not locked in, there's some cold air beforehand.
 
Wow... the dreaded rear back with the 32 line over SC. Jesus.. That would be a decent band of snow over SC.. I guess temps being a issue for us down here is also becoming a trend with more precip.
Nice batch of precip. through the Midlands area. Tough seeing the freezing line not make it Southward on that run. That's how it typically is for us though. Hope that changes in future runs.
 
I would not get to caught up at the surface. I think this would be mainly snow falling in our area.


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I wouldn't be so sure man. You would think but we have seen that look before in our area on models and it pans out a lot of the time. It's like the cold air gets delayed by the mountains. Idk if one would call that a warm nose in this situation.
 
I wouldn't be so sure man. You would think but we have seen that look before in our area on models and it pans out a lot of the time. It's like the cold air gets delayed by the mountains. Idk if one would call that a warm nose in this situation.

I’m not sure but three days out....I’m ok with this look.


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Is the Savannah River warm nose about to win again with a storm?
Honestly, Ive yet to get a good enough explanation of why that look occurs so often of SC. It's hard to call it a warm nose cause the LP isn't even that close. It's just odd when I see that all the time. It's like the cold air crashes through middle GA and all of NC but is ALWAYS delayed with reaching South Carolina, atleast on model outputs. If anyone has a explanation for this, it would be greatly appreciated. Of course, I only notice this during and when we are tracking winter weather and a coastal storm is in play.
 
With qpf output on the Euro all of Tennessee would get 1-3 inches. Ratios are gonna rock.
 
Euro did have less precip over southern AL and GA. However, important to note the H5 look continues to improve. We shall see

I think we may be looking at a winter system that will over preform with what is/will be modeled. IF the H5 continues to improve I don’t see anyway around that.


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If we can somehow get back to that 12z Euro from the other day, I'll be satisfied. This was more of a bigger deal for TN/NC anyway with it being a clipper+potential late bloomer.
 
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