GFS is horribly dry and a dumpster fire.
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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)
- Thread starter GeorgiaGirl
- Start date
SCweather
Member
ICON is definitely warmer than the other models. Maybe it's right? Who knows.
WXinCanton
Member
ICON is the new toy since it's been added to TT
Storm5
Member
Gfs blows , it's always late. But yes it was an improved ru
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I don't think posting what it is showing is talking about it like it's the new Euro unless your talking about comments elsewhere or something....
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I was right about the GFS. Stubborn. I wouldn't buy much of it. The CMC took a step with the NAM and ICON. Let's see what the NAVGEM and Euro as well as the UKMET have.
Brett
Member
What is icon lol, never heard it, it till now ?
GeorgiaGirl
Member
The surface took a big step backward on the GFS eastward even if it may have improved at H5 (I didn't compare it so I don't know).
Massive qpf increase on ICON over last 3 runs
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That second band forming across south AL and GA is big.
Usmeagle2005
Member
Looked like a very very small improvement over mid south on GFS unless I looked at it wrong, what’s causing it to dry up so quick?
accu35
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Other day when the system came through and brought snow to north MS/AL and TN, gfs didn't show any snow for SW bama just north. Short range models hinted at something for MBY and what happen? It flurries heavenly for about 45 min and had a nice coating on my porch and cars. Gfs absolutely sucks when handling systems like these with precip.
Yeah the GFS could certainly be right but lately it's just been horrible.... been more than one event it didn't show precip until verification time. It's not winning
accu35
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is like what Euro was showing correct?
I am a little concerned about boundary layer warmth even up here
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Just checked back from this morning early runs. I see nam is still improving !!
Avalanche
Member
We should fight that off with ease given the DP right?
Yes the 0Z run had a line of snow developing in sw alabama
The icon has done no worse than the Canadian or gfs lately. It's also very similar to the euro and nam solution. Id roll with that is showing before the gfs honestly.
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Long post about the nam and how I think there should have been more precipitation and how the models have trended better.
Dew points recover well into the 20s ahead of this system it would be entirely possible we would have a deep enough layer of above freezing air near the surface we start as rain or mix before going to snow.
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