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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

SD said:
Ummm a winter weather advisory is an upgrade from a winter storm watch...

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BMX always does this. They issue a Winter Storm Watch and then Upgrade to an Advisory or Warning. They rarely in my experience just go straight to an Advisory.
 
Storm5 said:
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Thats it the party is over :(
 
The thing is at the end if the day it is a clipper for most of us. If you are south of TN and score a flizzard you win big. If you keep that in mind you really can't get disappointed if it fails.
 
Storm5 said:
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Knowing that he is usually the first to hype things up for HSV...this is very discouraging for those wanting meaningful snow in his market. However, this was never going to amount to much anyway....still time though.
 
at 29 hours precip looks to be fizzling. Hopefully it fills back in over the next few frames.
 
Grantham has great disco this morning for kbmx:
"Some euro ensemble members, the 12km
NAM, and the Regional Canadian model are beginning to pick up the idea of an enhanced snow band across Central and East Alabama."

"With saturated profiles and efficient snow ratios of 15:1, snowfall amounts could
easily be underdone if models are underplaying the amount of lift."
 
whizrtr said:
Grantham has great disco this morning for kbmx:
"Some euro ensemble members, the 12km
NAM, and the Regional Canadian model are beginning to pick up the idea of an enhanced snow band across Central and East Alabama."

"With saturated profiles and efficient snow ratios of 15:1, snowfall amounts could
easily be underdone if models are underplaying the amount of lift."
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Grantham again with another great disco!
 
IMO it's evident we are getting a lot of help from the gulf. Just looking at surface maps precip goes poof once it crosses the mountains But the flow out of the gulf remains through AL and west GA. Should get some enhancement once it gets on the backside
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
IMO it's evident we are getting a lot of help from the gulf. Just looking at surface maps precip goes poof once it crosses the mountains But the flow out of the gulf remains and should get some enhancement once it gets on the backside
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Yeah it does well once it gets into Virginia
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Nam just went boom over upstate SC. Now that's some Leeside enhancement. This is our only shot
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Vorticity stretching in the wake of the Apps plus stout southwesterly moisture advection off the Gulf helps a lot... W/o continued vorticity stretching the precipitation shield may weaken a little some as it comes east into the eastern piedmont and/or west-central coastal plain
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Nam just went boom over upstate SC. Now that's some Leeside enhancement. This is our only shot
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Temps, temps, temps! If this comes in Tuesday evening or even midnight , I promise you upstate will be at 45+ degrees when rain starts
 
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