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Pattern Microwave March

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Barney or Grimace?

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Prelim 18Z GFS maps (through day 7) suggest that the late 6-10 as well as into the 11-15 day period will probably come in colder and quite cold for much of the E US, possibly including the SE. Warning: watch at your own risk but by all means enjoy!

LOL

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Good lord if only it were a month or 2 ago
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Are you surprised. LOL! Nothing like getting a couple of looks in March that you wanted in January and February.


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We are good at that. The gfs destroys the pacific post 300 as the jet noses in.

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the pump don't work 'cause the vandals took the handle -

there is reason to this rhyme tonight!
 
Well if this weekends freeze doesn't kill the plants this one would definitely kill them all.

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So my question is would it be worth it for some snow in march?

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Must....not....be....drawn....in. It's March, it's not even around the 1st of the month, this won't happen. Oh the freeze will, but the snow won't.
 
Really interested in the 3/5 period. Let's hope we can pull the rabbit out at the last min.
 
You can add March 20-21 1914 and March 22-23 1914 to this list as well. So yeah, 3 winter storms within ~ 10 days in mid-late March hit central NC in March 1914...
In addition to the March 1914 snowfalls, Charlotte recorded over 7" of snow from several snowstorms in late March and early April 1915. A snowstorm dropped 9.5" of snow on Charlotte March 17-18, 1885. Locations southeast of Charlotte(Monroe, NC) received a foot of snow from that storm. Several more inches of snow fell on March 22-23, 1885. Below are write ups on the March 1885 snows.

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In addition to the March 1914 snowfalls, Charlotte recorded over 7" of snow from several snowstorms in late March and early April 1915. A snowstorm dropped 9.5" of snow on Charlotte March 17-18, 1885. Locations southeast of Charlotte(Monroe, NC) received a foot of snow from that storm. Several more inches of snow fell on March 22-23, 1885. Below are write ups on the March 1885 snows.

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Interesting to see a few good snows from the NINO winter of 1884-85... Yeah I wish there was more available data then, but there's only enough stations to make maps of events thru ~ 1895 and even then I'm really pushing it.

Yeah there were 2 storms in very late March and early April 1915 that dumped a lot of snow across much of NC. Moore county was the big winner in 1915 with a combined 2-storm total of nearly 20"! These storms alone would easily put their seasonal total for the NINO winter of 1914-15 in the top 10 all-time, possibly even the top 5.
March 30-31 1915 NC Snowmap.png April 2-3 1915 NC Snowmap.png
 
0z GFS agrees with the 18z GFS on March 6.

I doubt it. Maybe someone in TN/NC gets lucky but I'm doubtful on this.
 
06z GFS run from this morning is intresting but not buying nothing from it yet, it's too far out still. The EPS even shows that clipper coming down which is odd, a clipper in March? The EPS is showing the moisture is being suppressed as that colder air is trying to get down into the SE. So, there could be a winter event at some point in early March but no guarantees.

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Euro Op backs off cold with the 00z run, bogus run as the EPS ensemble shows plenty cold below normal 850s on the east during the same time period. If EPS can't get it right by day 9-10 I wouldn't look at the GFS past day 10, either.

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Man that low track on the GFS is summoning me over like a scantily clad Britney.


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Man that low track on the GFS is summoning me over like a scantily clad Britney.

If things go BOOM on the 12z, I cannot guarantee that I will be able to resist posting a sled pic.

You should just ban me preemptively.


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Man that low track on the GFS is summoning me over like a scantily clad Britney.

If things go BOOM on the 12z, I cannot guarantee that I will be able to resist posting a sled pic.

You should just ban me preemptively.


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Lol, you better not jinx us again by doing that, you will give yourself rain for the next 5 winters if you do.
Since no model is showing it right now, and based on how accurate they have been this year, odds are that ridge will go up to Barrow and your wish will be fulfilled...LOL
Or it will go the other way, and flatten out and send everything north. It is interesting to see this pattern this late still, and if there is a wintry event involved, that too would be interesting to watch.
 
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