• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Melissa

There are 3 Atlantic basin hurricanes on record on this date or later that were cat 5 and they had these lowest pressures/highest sustained winds:

-Mitch of 1998: Oct 26-28; 905 mb/180 mph; but landfall was way down at 80 mph on Honduras. The extreme rainfall though was what made it so deadly.

-Hattie of 1961: Oct 31; 914 mb/165 mph; it weakened slightly at landfall in Belize to 915 mb/150 mph (cat 4)

-Cuba hurricane of 1932: Nov 5-8; 915 mb/175 mph; but it weakened some before hitting land as it was 150/cat 4 on landfall

The latest on record cat 5 landfall was on Cuba on Oct 19 (in 1924) near its peak intensity of 165 mph. So, IF this were to hit Jamaica as a cat 5, it would become the latest on record to make landfall anywhere by 9 days.
 
Last edited:
I’m going to rage if they’re turning back for good. We need a center pass!!


 
Stormsfury said:
Something happened to the plane. Definitely appears to be an aborted mission.
Click to expand...

I just read at 2 other boards that they may not be leaving but instead they may just be taking a different path of sorts. Anyone know?
 
Last edited:
Mandeville Jamaica has a population of 50k and is at 2000ft elevation fairly close to the south central coast....if Melissa comes in on the forecasted path they literally could get the center.
 
Downeastnc said:
Mandeville Jamaica has a population of 50k and is at 2000ft elevation fairly close to the south central coast....if Melissa comes in on the forecasted path they literally could get the center.
Click to expand...

That's where Icyclones base is. Some pretty fancy hotel
 
Brent said:
That's where Icyclones base is. Some pretty fancy hotel
Click to expand...

Hopefully Josh doesn’t end up in anything like the danger he faced in his chases of Haiyan (2013 Philippines) and Dorian (2019 Marsh Harbour). He could have died in those from the extreme storm surges. With Melissa, there’s the added extreme flooding and landslides danger from epic rainfall. It really is scary to think about, but he thrives on living on the edge and that’s putting it mildly!
 
From the discussion just now

The NOAA aircraft left the storm early after
experiencing severe turbulence in the southwestern eyewall.
 
GaWx said:
Hopefully Josh doesn’t end up in anything like the danger he faced in his chases of Haiyan (2013 Philippines) and Dorian (2019 Marsh Harbour). He could have died in those from the extreme storm surges. With Melissa, there’s the added extreme flooding and landslides danger from epic rainfall. It really is scary to think about, but he thrives on living on the edge and that’s putting it mildly!
Click to expand...
Definitely going to be a harrowing ride. If anyone can survive it, it’s Josh. He’s made for storms like this and I don’t think anyone has more experience out there.

This could be the closest thing to Dorian we’ve seen since
 
Judging by the hurricane models. This has about ~24 hours left over water before Jamaica. Hopefully we can get an ERC during that time. I feel good about there being one and knocking it down a bit.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top