Tropical Melissa

[Shaggy]

The slower speed certainly increases long range unknowns. Troughs come and go and highs build and weaken and the longer and slower it moves the more of these features become influences. One trough might miss but the next grab it and for the US that's seems largely inconsequential but for the islands and the Bahamas its critical

 

[weather bubba]

The slower speed certainly increases long range unknowns. Troughs come and go and highs build and weaken and the longer and slower it moves the more of these features become influences. One trough might miss but the next grab it and for the US that's seems largely inconsequential but for the islands and the Bahamas its critical

I believe this explains the forecasting difficulty in determining what is going to happen with Melissa. It is like a hitchhiker with his thumb out waiting for someone to pick him up and take him somewhere. We are not going to know much until the atmospheric feature that will eventually determine Melissa's fate picks it up and sets it in motion.