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Tropical Melissa

Next plane is on the way in. Eyeballing it we might get a pass around 1am. Might be worth staying up for 👀
 
There are 3 Atlantic basin hurricanes on record on this date or later that were cat 5 and they had these lowest pressures/highest sustained winds:

-Mitch of 1998: Oct 26-28; 905 mb/180 mph; but landfall was way down at 80 mph on Honduras. The extreme rainfall though was what made it so deadly.

-Hattie of 1961: Oct 31; 914 mb/165 mph; it weakened slightly at landfall in Belize to 915 mb/150 mph (cat 4)

-Cuba hurricane of 1932: Nov 5-8; 915 mb/175 mph; but it weakened some before hitting land as it was 150/cat 4 on landfall

The latest on record cat 5 landfall was on Cuba on Oct 19 (in 1924) near its peak intensity of 165 mph. So, IF this were to hit Jamaica as a cat 5, it would become the latest on record to make landfall anywhere by 9 days.
 
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I’m going to rage if they’re turning back for good. We need a center pass!!


 
Something happened to the plane. Definitely appears to be an aborted mission.

I just read at 2 other boards that they may not be leaving but instead they may just be taking a different path of sorts. Anyone know?
 
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The euro was pretty good a few days ago showing this getting more S or SW of Jamaica. This prolonged west delayed turn may give some hope that it can start an EWRC before it makes landfall
 
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