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Pattern Mega March 2023

One thing we have going for us IF the advertised pattern change occurs is not only is there still an ample supply of cold in most of Canada, but the snowpack there and over the northern US is quite extensive. Now, can we get a deep trough and a well-timed, deep system to deliver is, of course, the question?
 
accu35 said:
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Maybe it won’t snow, but it wouldn’t take much to turn this. All models are showing a pretty strong storm rolling through with a range from a 985-993 low. Tap a little more cold and not cut then we in business.
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Shift it about 100 miles NW and it's a big severe problem for a big area.
 
While the mid March pattern change may be uncertain (though suggested by extended forecasts), next week’s warmth may rival this week.


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The Gfs has been plastering middle Tennessee with snow for days with next Friday’s storm. I know not to get excited but damn I wish it would stop teasing. Last March I got 6 inches of snow and the gfs was sniffing that one out at around 10 days also. I remember it lost it around day 7 only to bring it back around day 5.

This fell on March 11th into the 12th last year. It was latest I’ve ever seen a snow that big in my time living here.
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olhausen said:
The Gfs has been plastering middle Tennessee with snow for days with next Friday’s storm. I know not to get excited but damn I wish it would stop teasing. Last March I got 6 inches of snow and the gfs was sniffing that one out at around 10 days also. I remember it lost it around day 7 only to bring it back around day 5.

This fell on March 11th into the 12th last year. It was latest I’ve ever seen a snow that big in my time living here.
View attachment 133562View attachment 133563View attachment 133564View attachment 133565View attachment 133566
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Tennessee and Virginia can still salvage winter.


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BullCityWx said:
If I was in Charlotte, it’s a low chance. Up here, I’ve seen that scenario workout quite a bit more.
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If you were going to draw up the perfect play on how to get something wintry around here the euro is about it with the sfc front and 850 trough pushing through Thu night and the 700mb lagging
 
CMC is similar to the ICON. This one may have legs.

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_28.png
 
Nomanslandva said:
25% of EPS had snow here or south of here next weekend. Of those, most bulls-eye were north of here so we do need more south trending in the next few runs for me to get my hopes up.
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Yeah I just don’t see this system trending more south… that SER is still pumping strong this week. I think your opportunity is going to be a few days later when the blocking up north has had a chance to take hold a little more and mute the SER some.
 
Icon still the same idea
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Try to escape it however you like but a high amp phase 8 is going to promote eastern US cold .. expect models to waffle but eventually they’ll come to their senses as we approach the 10-15th imo View attachment 133596View attachment 133597View attachment 133598
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We will see. Either way, averages are rising so cold will likely just be mostly 50s . Maybe 40s on colder days . Of course, there are exceptions. A powerful arctic blast mid March could easily yield a 44/22 type of day . Though that doesn’t seem to be on the table as of now.
 
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