Pattern Mega March 2023

[ATLwxfan]

not a fan...lol

I grew up in Tampa. In a nina winter fuggedaboudit. Dry and warm for days. Next year will be better Chris.


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[deltadog03]

I grew up in Tampa. In a nina winter fuggedaboudit. Dry and warm for days. Next year will be better Chris.


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I hope so...not just for here, but everywhere in the SE for sure.

 

[accu35]

Anyone see the Icon?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Ah hell..

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Ah hell.. View attachment 133582

CMC looks very similar

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

CMC is similar to the ICON. This one may have legs.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Hmmm icon .. cmc .. and euro.. against the gfs .. still I can’t believe we’re not going to NW trend this as we get closer with still 150+ hours to go if still be worried about severe or massively cold rain before I would think about snow

 

[Nomanslandva]

25% of EPS had snow here or south of here next weekend. Of those, most bulls-eye were north of here so we do need more south trending in the next few runs for me to get my hopes up.

 

[Chazwin]

25% of EPS had snow here or south of here next weekend. Of those, most bulls-eye were north of here so we do need more south trending in the next few runs for me to get my hopes up.

Yeah I just don’t see this system trending more south… that SER is still pumping strong this week. I think your opportunity is going to be a few days later when the blocking up north has had a chance to take hold a little more and mute the SER some.

 

[LukeBarrette]

CMC is similar to the ICON. This one may have legs.

All pretty similar idea, seems like GFS is incorrect right now.

 

[ATLwxfan]

Hmmm

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/monthly/images/summaryCFSv2.NaT2mProb.202303.gif

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[NoSnowATL]

View attachment 133592
All pretty similar idea, seems like GFS is incorrect right now.

Congratulations Boston.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Ha

 

[Flotown]

honestly ,i hope all these cold march forecast are wrong,im over this winter...unless i get snow...lol

 

[ATLwxfan]

honestly ,i hope all these cold march forecast are wrong,im over this winter...unless i get snow...lol

It’s starting to look like they were a bit premature.


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[ATLwxfan]

Ha View attachment 133593View attachment 133595

Good trends if pattern persistence is your thing.


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[LukeBarrette]

Icon still the same idea

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Try to escape it however you like but a high amp phase 8 is going to promote eastern US cold .. expect models to waffle but eventually they’ll come to their senses as we approach the 10-15th imo

 

[NoSnowATL]

Try to escape it however you like but a high amp phase 8 is going to promote eastern US cold .. expect models to waffle but eventually they’ll come to their senses as we approach the 10-15th imo View attachment 133596View attachment 133597View attachment 133598

Try to escape it however you like but the SER will be around and the cold will stay just north and west.

 

[LickWx]

Try to escape it however you like but a high amp phase 8 is going to promote eastern US cold .. expect models to waffle but eventually they’ll come to their senses as we approach the 10-15th imo View attachment 133596View attachment 133597View attachment 133598

We will see. Either way, averages are rising so cold will likely just be mostly 50s . Maybe 40s on colder days . Of course, there are exceptions. A powerful arctic blast mid March could easily yield a 44/22 type of day . Though that doesn’t seem to be on the table as of now.