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Pattern May Thread

J.C. said:
My Tempest is at 1.15", but it is generally 10-20% low, there are two stations on each side of me that I keep tabs on and one has 1.46" and 1.36".
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Also, we discovered back in December, thanks to Ward, to turn off the rain check feature (I think the default setting is on), once I did so my numbers came up more in line with other reporting stations and radar estimates.

Ward Cleaver said:
I turned off the Rain Check feature. I’m more interested in rain totals IMBY than overall community totals.
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83/70 right now with a primarily S wind. Looks like the backdoor front is lingering near by. Really want to be along or just north today to wait maximize heavy rain potential
 
I’m not gonna have any problems keeping my centipede seeds watered that I planted a week ago. Over an inch of rain in the last two days will take care of that problem with more to come.
 
metwannabe said:
Also, we discovered back in December, thanks to Ward, to turn off the rain check feature (I think the default setting is on), once I did so my numbers came up more in line with other reporting stations and radar estimates.


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I look around at some of the stations near me and I would love to meet these guys that spend the money on a tempest and put it under a tree or deck and constantly report 0.00". I had the rain check feature on for a while and couldn't understand why I was so low but that was absolutely it.
 
ILMRoss said:
AI driven or not, i almost always take summer nado forecasts with a grain of salt. There's a paper i saw years ago (but still feels very true, it has completely stuck with me) that basically implied once you get into summer regimes you can basically throw STP and all of the model driven supercell/tornado parameters out (or at least respect them way less) as their accuracy of predicting outbreaks goes down a lot.
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Nothing widespread but tornado threat certainly wasn’t zero here with a stout QLCS capable of the obvious kinks for some tornado development E6B3E6F2-8638-402F-9DBE-E644A1BEF160.png
 
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
259 PM EDT Mon May 23 2022

NCC037-105-125-231930-
/O.CON.KRAH.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-220523T1930Z/
Moore NC-Lee NC-Chatham NC-
259 PM EDT Mon May 23 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MOORE...NORTHWESTERN LEE AND SOUTHWESTERN CHATHAM
COUNTIES...

At 259 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Carthage, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
Carthage around 305 PM EDT.
Sanford and Goldston around 325 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Cumnock, Harpers Crossroads, Highfalls, Robbins and Glendon.
 
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
303 PM EDT Mon May 23 2022

NCC093-125-165-231915-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0103.000000T0000Z-220523T1915Z/
Moore NC-Scotland NC-Hoke NC-
303 PM EDT Mon May 23 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL MOORE...NORTH CENTRAL SCOTLAND AND NORTHERN HOKE
COUNTIES...

At 303 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Carthage to Southern Pines to 6 miles east of
Hoffman, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Southern Pines, Carthage, Pinehurst, Aberdeen, Whispering Pines,
Pinebluff, Foxfire, Taylortown, Vass and Cameron.
 
J.C. said:
You just got a new tempest didn't you? Its probably a little low, they are getting better, but are still generally short.
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I’ve had for awhile now but a bird took a massive dump on it and it hasn’t registered as good lately.
 
Tornado Warning
NCC063-069-077-183-232045-
/O.NEW.KRAH.TO.W.0017.220523T2006Z-220523T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
406 PM EDT Mon May 23 2022

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southern Granville County in central North Carolina...
Northeastern Wake County in central North Carolina...
Southeastern Durham County in central North Carolina...
Northwestern Franklin County in central North Carolina...

* Until 445 PM EDT.

* At 406 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Durham, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Raleigh around 410 PM EDT.
Wake Forest around 430 PM EDT.
Franklinton around 440 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Falls
Lake, Falls Lake State Rec Area, Youngsville, Falls Lake Boat Ramp
and Purnell.
 
Tornado Warning
NCC063-069-077-181-232045-
/O.NEW.KRAH.TO.W.0018.220523T2011Z-220523T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
411 PM EDT Mon May 23 2022

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southwestern Vance County in central North Carolina...
Southern Granville County in central North Carolina...
Central Durham County in central North Carolina...
Northwestern Franklin County in central North Carolina...

* Until 445 PM EDT.

* At 411 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Butner, or 7 miles northeast of Durham, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Creedmoor and Butner around 425 PM EDT.
Franklinton and Kittrell around 445 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Gorman, Stem, Lake Butner and Falls Lake.
 
Good lord that thunderstorm is packing a punch here in Raleigh .. had very strong wind gusts I would say up to 50 maybe 60 mph for a good duration of the past 20 minutes or so .. knocked over nearby umbrellas and furniture .. would not be surprised to see tree down reports next several hours .. also the rainfall rates are horrendous almost immediate fresh water flooding
 
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
437 PM EDT Mon May 23 2022

NCC069-077-183-232046-
/O.EXP.KRAH.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-220523T2045Z/
Granville NC-Wake NC-Franklin NC-
437 PM EDT Mon May 23 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GRANVILLE...NORTH CENTRAL
WAKE AND NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire. However gusty
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warnings still remain in effect
until 530 PM.
 
Very underrated severe day becoming apparent. Bigger tornado threat than previously thought and quite the severe thunderstorms .. another round later makes this an impressive day DBF8256B-35C1-4894-8E15-2BD38EDCDAB2.jpeg
 
SD said:
.22 sigh
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You got more than me. 1000 mile continuous line of rain and storms, and the .25 mile break in the line moved right over my house and filled in 2 miles north. And our neighborhood's power got knocked out by an 8 mph breeze gust and is still out. At least I got to hear a thunder.
 
Rain Cold said:
You got more than me. 1000 mile continuous line of rain and storms, and the .25 mile break in the line moved right over my house and filled in 2 miles north. And our neighborhood's power got knocked out by an 8 mph breeze gust and is still out. At least I got to hear a thunder.
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We suck can't wait to see how we spectacularly blow the line to the south
 
SD said:
6 days into this and .44 going to have to do a lot of work to match this gfs forecast
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You got more than me. I'm on the struggle bus. I don't care in terms of rain. I don't have a garden or any grass, for that matter. But I do like the weather aspects of thunderstorms. Howerver, they have certainly been missing me lately.
 
Well according to some friends that live just a few miles south of me who saw it, there was a tornado on the ground here in southern Union County. If confirmed by the NWS this will now be the 5th tornado to come within 10 miles of my house since we moved here in 2010…. I feel very lucky. The friends who saw this evening’s funnel have some roofing material ripped off a couple of their chicken houses, but the birds are safe.
 
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