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Pattern May Thread

So we got 2 camps of models for tomorrow:

1. The GFS / EURO / HRRR / RAP showing highs in the mid/upper 90s.

2. The NAM / NAM ensembles / GEM only showing highs in the low/mid 80s.

^^^We will find out which set of these models is terrible. I want to lean towards #2, but on the other hand, #2 does a good job of picking up on those shallow cold fronts that end up stronger than forecasted.
 
This was scary, I’m sure! 449374EB-8B33-4BE8-8BB1-A880B3F27058.png
 
I guess the severe threat today doesn't look like much since we don't have a thread.
RAH NWS:
Seeing only a glancing shot from the impressive northern stream
trough, central NC will find itself on the far southern fringes of
the better forcing/trough dynamics and shear that`s forecast to
extend from VA north. As such, it`s not surprising to see NWP model
guidance trends toward far less convective coverage across central
NC.
 
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