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Zander98al
Guest
Especially in tennessee and nw al and ne ms. Got a bad feeling about things
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Severe March 9-10 Arklatex/Lower MS Valley/Gulf Coast Severe threat
- Thread starter Webberweather53
- Start date
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- Tags
- severe weather
Dual spin up?
This one is growing legs fast. Areas around Blanchard LA need to be on their toes
Debris sig?
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Those cloud bases are low, increase 0-3km cape and there’s definitely a chance for wedges today
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Zander98al
Guest
HSVweather
Member
SBCAPE projections in +4
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Zander98al
Guest
HRRR showing supercells popping up over north alabama around 3 and 4 o clock in ripe conditions. Little worrying
Partners, we're looking over the latest data coming in late this morning. Parameters are lining up fairly well for a good chance of severe storms across northern MS and NW AL. Still quite concerned about severe weather threats in our northwest counties, and will be expanding the Enhanced Risk area back to the east on our graphic to include areas along and north/west of a Carrollton to Jasper line, also covering much of Winston County as well. We'll be sending that out soon.
Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk
Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk
HSVweather
Member
Snowflowxxl
Member
Just got home from fishing. Will be radar watching the rest of the day. Looking vicious
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Basically like the last event, supercells popping out ahead of the main line, f**k I hate to see that
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Zander98al
Guest
Im going to be at the birmingham iron football game at legion field so ill be right in the middle of things if this comes to fruition. The HRRR is real worrying.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
This is not good:
HSVweather
Member
That’s a sounding that could support a strong/long track tornado based off what’s already happened
Snowflowxxl
Member
For this thing to already be producing in less favorable environments is not a good sign for this afternoon. Could get nuts in TN/MS/AL later today.
RollTide18
Member
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Wow, BMX mentioning Strong Tornadoes, definitely a likelihood of that happening.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Its a sounding from an area I randomly picked in North Central Alabama, not very familiar with the state so my guess is looking at the state map, it's about 50 miles north of Tuscaloosa?
That there is and I could even see the slight or marginal yellow risk area being expanded further in the Birmingham if not south of there
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Probably somewhere North West Walker county Winston or Fayette county
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Be careful trusting the HRRR, it goes a little discrete crazy in its longer range. Not to say dont pay attention to it, just be leary.
RollTide18
Member
Yeah, I can’t post it from my phone but the latest RAP shows supercells popping up in West Central Alabama around 2-3.
another view and watch out finding a link on twitter named meteotube or something like that, has extreme malware
GeorgiaGirl
Member
jaymackd3
Member
Looks like the skies are clearing in Central AL & Central MS
Natedogg25
Member
Skies are clearing in East Central Alabama.
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Fountainguy97
Member
Radar looks extremely messy. TONS of clutter out there right now.
This doesn’t mean the threat is a bust but if this persists it will surely dampen tornado potential for many areas.
This doesn’t mean the threat is a bust but if this persists it will surely dampen tornado potential for many areas.
You can see the “wedge front”, circled area is where I’m concerned for but yes, that is a lot of clutter to the west
Fountainguy97
Member
You can see on the 3hr cape change how that clutter is dampening instability out across TN and northern Mississippi.
Snowflowxxl
Member
SREF has 90% tornado progs. Don't see that everyday, its about to get lit in a few hours.
Hrrr lost the idea of discrete supercells in northern AL aswell, hmmm