March 18-19th Possible Severe Wx Outbreak

[Parker]

 

[Arcc]

Tornado climatology?? If there is such a thing... for their sake I hope so.

Yes. That area always seems to get the best inflow as the storms north end cutting each other off.

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

The thread is for the 16th-19th. No reason we cannot discuss both days...

This is a weather board after all.

I didn't realize there was a threat for the 19th.

 

[ryan1234]

I didn't realize there was a threat for the 19th.

There isn't, but when the thread was made the 19th was still in play, I believe.

 

[Shaggy]

In between

Despite the coverage being less over NC on the 3k that also means those storms will be more isolated and that could spell trouble where those storms do form.

 

[Psalm 148:8]

View attachment 79286

I do not like the sound of that...

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Despite the coverage being less over NC on the 3k that also means those storms will be more isolated and that could spell trouble where those storms do form.

But this would also mean a downgrade to enhanced .. has to be widespread enough to be considered for a moderate

 

[SD]

I didn't realize there was a threat for the 19th.

Probably some hail potential Friday in NC but the real threats are today and tomorrow

 

[DadOfJax]

Mods...Any way we can separate this by days so the nowcasting of today isn't cluttered by potential weather for upcoming days?

 

[Storm5]

View attachment 79286

Irresponsible. No one can say that for sure


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[SD]

 

[Shaggy]

But this would also mean a downgrade to enhanced .. has to be widespread enough to be considered for a moderate

Sure but does it really matter if its enhanced or moderate if theres 4 to 5 discrete supercells recycling as they cross the state it's still a bad bad day.

We just have to watch the model trends.

 

[SD]

Mods...Any way we can separate this by days so the nowcasting of today isn't cluttered by potential weather for upcoming days?

Yes. I am going to start a new thread for today and leave this one open for tomorrow

 

[Parker]

Irresponsible. No one can say that for sure


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I agree with you and hope that he is flat wrong. Brett, is usually pretty good with his predictions. I’ve seen some High risks bust in the past, but usually the SPC does a good job.

 

[Zander98al]

oof

 

[DustinWx]

I am in Tuscaloosa

 

[SD]

I started a new thread for today only. I will update the thread title for this specific thread to tomorrow and friday

 

[deltadog03]

Irresponsible. No one can say that for sure


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Agreed. #hype

 

[Parker]

oof

Woah, that is ugly looking.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Brett Adair is one of the most knowledgeable severe weather experts around. He isn’t some hype forecaster for clicks. He wouldn’t be saying that unless he meant it. I don’t see it as being irresponsible, he’s saying what he thinks.