March 18-19th Possible Severe Wx Outbreak

[jackendrickwx]

Is this in AL?

Jackson MS and Baton Rouge I believe

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Jeeez things look rough this morning. The crapvection definitely isn’t hanging around and these soundings are screaming bad news.

 

[jackendrickwx]

I've seen very few models indicating supercellular development pre-QLCS in MS as they do in AL. What is the actual storm mode expectation for MS? Broken line of supes?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

If that isn't a loaded gun sounding, I don't know what is...

Yeah about as classic of a loaded gun sounding as you can get

 

[Zander98al]

This was the satelite imagery a couple hours ago I think

 

[Stormsfury]

I've seen very few models indicating supercellular development pre-QLCS in MS as they do in AL. What is the actual storm mode expectation for MS? Broken line of supes?

All modes from what I gather.

 

[NoSnowATL]

Happy to see the wedge race out of the way. All we need is a few hrs to charge up the atmosphere. Lets go!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[znel52]

I read somewhere else the most recent models are showing some stronger 'capping' in place but still may not be enough to hold the storms back. I'm not very good at reading hodos is anyone else seeing this and what are your thoughts?

 

[HSVweather]

This was the satelite imagery a couple hours ago I think View attachment 79281

That clearing in MS?

 

[Zander98al]

I read somewhere else the most recent models are showing some 'capping' in place but may not be enough to hold the storms back. I'm not very good at reading hodos is anyone else seeing this and what are your thoughts?

I'd almost think more capping might be bad in this scenario honestly. Leads to more "loaded guns" and explosive storm initiation

 

[Snowfan]

Not liking what I’m seeing this morning

 

[jackendrickwx]

Mid 60s around Tuscaloosa, breaking 60 around Bham

 

[NoSnowJoe]

That clearing in MS?

Clearing in bama and Georgia also as rain pushes NE

 

[Brick Tamland]

Just hoping it stays cloudy here most of the day tomorrow so we don't get the clearing we usually need for big storms. It doesn't look good on the models, though. Have to hope they are off, or it's more of an isolated event and we get lucky and misses most folks.

 

[SimeonNC]

Imo, I'm surprised they moved the enhanced threat so far west in NC.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hrrr doesn’t look like much tomorrow

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[ryan1234]

Imo, I'm surprised they moved the enhanced threat so far west in NC.

I'm not. This front is taking it's time. I would be willing to bet it slows down even more, which is normally the opposite directions these things play out.

 

[jackendrickwx]

HRRR UH swaths