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Tropical Major Hurricane Michael

ForsythSnow said:
Since I didn't see anyone mention it, and since I just noticed, there is an upper level dropsonde flight in progress. This should fine tune the data and get the models in better agreement and might change the model paths.
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Full 00z suite tonight should have all the data incorporated so hopefully this helps out with determining the speed/track differences that are still there. Landfall near Panama City looks about locked in though.
 
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snowlover91 said:
Full 00z suite tonight should have all the data incorporated so hopefully this helps out with determining the speed/track differences that are still there. Landfall near Panama City looks about locked in though.
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one thing we know for sure....path has changed every 24 hours, so I have high expectations that it will change again. ;)
 
80 mph now @ 5pm update
 
This looks very different than the past coupleof of days. Maybe shear can help if it hangs around for a couple of days.

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Not that it means much, but the NAM didn't look like it changed much. 18z NAM past 48 hours though, so...lol.

Yeah I'm curious of when Michael leaves the passage. I think that'll determine a lot upstream.
 
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