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Tropical Major Hurricane Michael

I don't think Tclp is correct, but, since we are depending on a cold front battling with the atlantic ridge to push the storm track to the east, I'll be surprised if it happens as soon as the models predict... It hardly ever does.
 
Local mets wind gust forecast shows some of the strongest winds up this way anyhow on the backside of Michael, I'm assuming as it starts transitioning to extratropical.... problem is that's after 3-6" of rain
 
Yeah, that front has to get through. It's what's going to make our weather normal again for fall...lol. (or at least as not as ridiculously hot for fall)
 
Folks, the TCLP is a climatology based model. It’s not to be taken seriously as it doesn’t use the synoptic steering like other models do.
 
The ridge is being hit from the south and the west. I don’t think it holds and neither does the models. I don’t think it could stand it if it tried. Could see a slight shift north if it holds longer tho.
 
snowlover91 said:
Folks, the TCLP is a climatology based model. It’s not to be taken seriously as it doesn’t use the synoptic steering like other models do.
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I posted an explanation several post back and I saw you posted the link to explain it, but something about seeing it I guess Lol.... remind me to pull that from a site that doesn't use it next time.
 
Jessy89 said:
I I’m new just joined. But have been reading this board a lot especially in the winter time. I love snow. I’m located in liberty sc by the way. In the Pickens county sc area and usually get screwed in the winter lol
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Welcome aboard!
 
Jessy89 said:
I I’m new just joined. But have been reading this board a lot especially in the winter time. I love snow. I’m located in liberty sc by the way. In the Pickens county sc area and usually get screwed in the winter lol
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Congrats on joining the board. I have learned a lot of things on here thru the years. We got a lot of smart people on here that can really educated us!!!
 
DarkKnight said:
Congrats on joining the board. I have learned a lot of things on here thru the years. We got a lot of smart people on here that can really educated us!!!
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I love weather been intrested since 5yr old. I don’t know a lot but love watching the models in the winter. And know a thing or two I believe I’m happy to be here
 
Currently spending the week in Greenville (south al) and watching this monster of a Hurricane on satellite directly to the south of me brings back so many memories of Ivan and Dennis, it’s gonna pass to the east of where I am but man talk about an eerie feeling.

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deltadog03 said:
Anyone have that good link with the NHC plots on it, I just saw the map on another site and someone posted the track, don't know if its the latest 11pm adv, but its a bit west of that forecast track.
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What’s so scary is. This better start making that Ne turn soon on it’s going to be a direct hit on Panama City. I just pray that everyone in its path has gone to safety. This thing is scary and not to be taken lightly!!!
 
Jessy89 said:
I I’m new just joined. But have been reading this board a lot especially in the winter time. I love snow. I’m located in liberty sc by the way. In the Pickens county sc area and usually get screwed in the winter lol
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Welcome! I'm just a few miles away in Easley. I don't really post much (this might be my first one actually, not sure) but am always lurking around, especially in winter.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
 
esking76 said:
Welcome! I'm just a few miles away in Easley. I don't really post much (this might be my first one actually, not sure) but am always lurking around, especially in winter.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
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Awesome nice to see someone so close to home.
 
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