Taken verbatim, this would be a huge problem for the Florida panhandle.
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Tropical Major Hurricane Michael
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
pcbjr
Member
TWC now has Cedar Key on the right edge of the cone ... FWIW ...
Henry2326
Member
18z ICON, has practically the same path as 12z Euro, but...landfall about 18 hours sooner than Euro and weaker at 969.
The earlier the landfall, I think the more N this can go,into GA/SC before rocketing NE
pcbjr
Member
Whatever ... somebody's not gonna be happy ...
... and there's a funny feelin' about who that might could be ...
BHS1975
Member
Whatever ... somebody's not gonna be happy ...
... and there's a funny feelin' about who that might could be ...
I’m thinking the death ridge will keep it far enough west of your area.
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pcbjr
Member
battle of forces, but anything with Cedar Key on it demands preparation ...
Psalm 148:8
Member
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New advisory... winds at 60mph
Psalm 148:8
Member
- Joined
- Dec 25, 2016
- Messages
- 241
- Reaction score
- 427
Hoping this doesn’t wind up to be Opal’s little brother
Yellow Snow
Member
A live streaming cam at the Hyatt Ziva Cancun - things are getting a bit breezy there...
Philstorm91
Member
Just checking back in and Michael looks to be getting closer to hurricane status. It looks like a faster forward motion for this storm would bring him closer to the a north central Gulf coast landfall vs a slower motion getting picked up by the trough moving down. Interestingly, Michael looks to be our catalyst for the overdue fall weather.
Henry2326
Member
Guidance looks the same.
pcbjr
Member
... what's a pic worth? a 1000 words?
W
WeatherLC
Guest
He looks ugly
Henry2326
Member
A million words in this case and he hasn't gotten started yet.
Looky...he's trying to decide if he's gonna make a run for passage gate tomorrow...
He will improve significantly, unfortunately, once he clears the Yucatan
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snowlover91
Member
Michael is in the process of organizing an inner core and building an upper level outflow pattern. As the shear relaxes further it will be off to the races. Unfortunately intensity models are ramping up even more tonight. Some are bringing this near cat 4 for landfall with good agreement on cat 2.
Philstorm91
Member
Something we should keep in mind is that the GOM has been untouched this season from any storms. The whole path to the Gulf coast is unfortunately gasoline fuel for Michael. Everyone from north FL to the SE LA coast should keep an eye on this storm.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
At the moment, I believe a cat 3 is a reasonable strength to predict for landfall due to the situation. Only exception is if the shear decides to rip the west side apart more than expected. I'm sure there will be a lot of "That's the ugliest category 2 I've seen" comments from this storm if it stays slow.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
So, the new Halloween movie is coming out Oct 19. Can we call this hurricane Michael Myers?