That's what I was saying days ago
Of course I never expected this
Guidance did a pretty good job this go round picking up on RI potential, intensity has and will always be more difficult to predict than track.
That's what I was saying days ago
Of course I never expected this
We went 26 years without a US category 5 landfall(1992-2018) and now we stand a real shot at 2 in less than 2 years
Click on the eyeball to the right of the nameI can’t watch a thing. It only gives their names.
Click on the eyeball to the right of the name
The NHC has done remarkably well on the track of this thing.Models seem to do a better job at forecasting track than intensity.
The NHC has done remarkably well on the track of this thing.
That gap of warmer cloud tops on the west side really cooled over the last few frames now it may be trying to rebuild the eastern side.
HWRF, HMON, AND NAM told us this two days ago.Models seem to do a better job at forecasting track than intensity.
Brett Adair and crew will be live streaming tonight. Should be a good one to watch. Hopefully most people have taken the warnings seriously and evacuated
Hit this link: Live storm chasing
Well I will say this for the HWRF and HMON is that they seem to be fit for storms that are in a perfect environment for strengthening and rapid intensification. The only problem is it seems to one want to do the same thing with storms that aren’t going in that perfect environmentFor the rest of this season if I hear one sxxt word about HWRF, HMON, OR NAM, I will call you out and we will go at it.....Listen when they speak.....none of the models will be right all the time.....but these
Yup....lol
Well I will say this for the HWRF and HMON is that they seem to be fit for storms that are in a perfect environment for strengthening and rapid intensification. The only problem is it seems to one want to do the same thing with storms that aren’t going in that perfect environment
Brett Adair on livestormchasing.comBut seriously, who is chasing this thing? I need some links to watch tonight.
It's important to look at trends for all of them instead of just throwing them out when they do something crazy.....since they all do something crazy.....just like 18z GFS giving pressure of 960 at landfall..... ?Like I said yesterday they had gonzalo entering the lesser antilles as a cat 4. If you cry wild every storm sooner or later you will be right.
Brett Adair on livestormchasing.com
TBH idk if you're going to get much on the stream though