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Tropical Major Hurricane Laura

They increased the peak winds to 110 mph.
INIT 25/0300Z 22.7N 84.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 25/1200Z 23.7N 86.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 26/0000Z 25.2N 89.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 26/1200Z 26.8N 91.6W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 27/0000Z 28.8N 93.0W 95 KT 110 MPH
60H 27/1200Z 31.3N 93.6W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND
72H 28/0000Z 33.8N 93.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
96H 29/0000Z 36.7N 89.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
120H 30/0000Z 36.9N 77.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
Click to expand...
 
Intensity right at landfall is forecast at 110 now at latest NHC update
 
This isn’t just a case of the HWRF showing RI. When globals like the GFS and Euro are showing this bombing out sub 950mb then pay close attention. Unfortunately, assuming no EWRC before landfall, this will likely do similar to Michael and Harvey which is a worst case scenario.
 
Pressure is down to 994.7 mb.
424
URNT15 KNHC 250320
AF309 1313A LAURA HDOB 40 20200825
031100 2305N 08417W 6961 03132 9982 +120 +084 101040 040 045 000 03
031130 2303N 08417W 6961 03127 9974 +123 +087 102040 040 045 000 00
031200 2301N 08417W 6965 03121 9972 +122 +099 103040 041 047 001 03
031230 2300N 08417W 6960 03124 9969 +121 +105 100039 041 047 000 03
031300 2258N 08417W 6962 03122 9971 +120 +106 101038 039 046 000 03
031330 2256N 08417W 6959 03122 9965 +122 +094 102040 040 045 001 03
031400 2254N 08417W 6965 03113 9960 +122 +104 107038 040 045 001 03
031430 2253N 08418W 6965 03111 9967 +117 +101 106035 038 044 000 03
031500 2251N 08418W 6962 03116 9972 +112 +090 108030 033 039 000 03
031530 2249N 08418W 6959 03116 9963 +120 +079 109028 030 039 000 03
031600 2248N 08419W 6966 03106 9959 +122 +081 109027 028 036 000 03
031630 2246N 08419W 6959 03112 9953 +124 +084 109025 027 037 000 03
031700 2244N 08420W 6962 03107 9947 +126 +101 105021 023 040 001 00
031730 2243N 08420W 6963 03104 9948 +125 +093 112015 019 040 001 03
031800 2241N 08421W 6961 03107 9947 +125 +095 110015 015 036 000 03
031830 2239N 08421W 6961 03105 9950 +121 +099 104010 014 035 000 03
031900 2237N 08422W 6963 03104 9953 +119 +102 095009 009 034 000 00
031930 2236N 08422W 6963 03104 9950 +122 +096 093006 008 035 000 00
032000 2234N 08422W 6962 03107 9950 +124 +093 110004 006 036 000 03
032030 2232N 08423W 6959 03108 9955 +118 +105 342002 004 036 001 00
Click to expand...
 
Another thing, as @SD earlier said this gives me Erin vibes but stronger, for areas farther East, Thermos/wind energy is favorable for a some sort of line that could produce damaging winds/isolated tornadoes for SC/NC/GAA8E66CEF-26A1-4640-9465-1B12620162F6.pngBE1CF8F0-4552-4DE1-8104-0652FBA9CBA9.png
 
Snowfan said:
Pressure is down to 994.7 mb.
Click to expand...

What did the models forecast for Laura's pressure when it left Cuba, I'm curious to see how Laura's current intensity compares to what models had forecast for her at this point. Especially the more bullish models.
 
Euro is way west these west trends can stop anytime now also it's strengthening til landfall

The hurricane watches may have to be extended southward

prateptype_cat_ecmwf.gom (11).png
 
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