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Tropical Major Hurricane Laura

Chazwin said:
It was Michael... I remember it just steadily strengthened for several days and then within about 6 or 7 hours of landfall just started to blow up, and you just waited to see an ERC that would knock cause the pressure to jump 20 mb and it just never came
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I was right in the eye wall of Michael. Never in my life have I seen so much devastation. I remember every second of that day. Whoever is saying that this may not be more than a Cat 2-3...set up is from what I'm seeing very similar to Michael. I'm pretty sure no model had it lower than 930-940 and it came barreling in at 919. We'll see what happens but whoever is in the cone I'd be most definitely getting prepared.
 
JaxHurricane12 said:
I was right in the eye wall of Michael. Never in my life have I seen so much devastation. I remember every second of that day. Whoever is saying that this may not be more than a Cat 2-3...set up is from what I'm seeing very similar to Michael. I'm pretty sure no model had it lower than 930-940 and it came barreling in at 919. We'll see what happens but whoever is in the cone I'd be most definitely getting prepared.
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I personally agree this'll probably become a monster. The Euro hopped aboard at 18Z and as soon as RI begins that's the HWRF and HMON's wheelhouse. They perform extremely well with powerful storms.
 
I don’t know if this was posted or not but here’s the 00z spaghetti models
CAF8495E-DB33-4FCA-8B46-CA7AE8E631A9.jpeg98DE3DF5-997D-41BE-A7A3-063DA1AAB453.jpeg
 
Didn't post so then...but I thought earlier that this was starting to finally truly get the look of a possible future monster. Think I was thinking so either late in the afternoon or early evening.
 
JaxHurricane12 said:
I was right in the eye wall of Michael. Never in my life have I seen so much devastation. I remember every second of that day. Whoever is saying that this may not be more than a Cat 2-3...set up is from what I'm seeing very similar to Michael. I'm pretty sure no model had it lower than 930-940 and it came barreling in at 919. We'll see what happens but whoever is in the cone I'd be most definitely getting prepared.
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I may be wrong, but If I remember correctly the HWRF and the HMON were consistently around 920mb and 140knts at 24hrs out and I think the Euro was mid-920s with Michael.

To your point though, it’s not good seeing the Euro starting to match the HWRF.
 
Watching Laura come up from over here in Baton Rouge. Probably get some breezy rains and maybe some stray tornadoes, but nothing too serious.
 
As John Hope used to say, show me a 300mb map and call it a day. GFS, 18z still suspect, 250mb, stacking potential given a very robust mid level axis, I’d be worried more in New Orleans at this point vs Houston. Western envelopment is set at 48hrs,
56C1B114-9F22-470B-ACD3-1F091D76B56A.png497EFF02-4153-4144-981E-0160253A11FF.png
 
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WeatherNC said:
As John Hope used to say, show me a 300mb map and call it a day. GFS, 18z still suspect, 250mb, stacking potential given a very robust mid level axis, I’d be worried more in New Orleans at this point CS Houston. Western envelopment is set at 48hrs,
View attachment 47165View attachment 47164
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I know a lot can change, but satellite imagery seems to favor that too.
 
WeatherNC said:
As John Hope used to say, show me a 300mb map and call it a day. GFS, 18z still suspect, 250mb, stacking potential given a very robust mid level axis, I’d be worried more in New Orleans at this point CS Houston. Western envelopment is set at 48hrs,
View attachment 47165View attachment 47164
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Looking at the water vapor I was starting to see the same thing...I see Laura connecting with the sub tropical Jet pulling it more northwards and thus potentially further east. I'd be concerned if I was anywhere on the LA coastline.
weather.cod.edu

COD NEXLAB: Satellite and Radar

Check out COD Meteorology's Satellite and Radar Data
weather.cod.edu weather.cod.edu
 
000
WTNT33 KNHC 250244
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Laura Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
1100 PM EDT Mon Aug 24 2020

...LAURA FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY...
...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER WESTERN CUBA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.7N 84.0W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
ABOUT 765 MI...1230 KM SE OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES
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