Also, the Keys are under a TS watch. Not sure if that had been mentioned previously
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Tropical Major Hurricane Laura
- Thread starter GaWx
- Start date
Henry2326
Member
11am NHC cone
6z EPS
Henry2326
Member
Looks like they agree with HWRF, GFS, and Icon.......will be interesting tomorrow to see if the H goes to an M....I can't imagine they would make that call until it comes off the islands....
11am NHC cone
Jessy89
Member
I never believe it go as Far East as Texas. And I still don’t think that be the case. Louisiana is as Far East this goes. And I agree Florida is still in play. My reason for believing this is that High pressure will pick it up turn it north before it goes to Texas
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B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Looks like it could be a cat 2 at least, possibly cat 3.
Henry2326
Member
For me personally, after a cat2, it doesn't matter....its all bad...I'm taking my exit plan.....??
Another concept to think about is that #TSMarco will be in the Gulf first. The trough has actually pulled the storm north and will completely miss the Yucatán. #TSLaura will be moving in the exact waters Marco traveled in. Cooling the waters before Laura arrives. This will hamper any major redevelopment once Laura emerges from Cuba.
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It's not like it's going to turn the water into a 60° chill.
Henry2326
Member
To your point, maybe some impact in the Atlantic, but the GOM is so shallow that it will recover quickly.
Icon has Laura eating the remnant circulation of Marco.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Do you mean as far WEST as Texas ?
I may be alone on an island guys, but I see why TSLaura is strengthening right now. Water is like a bath in the Caribbean. I still believe we are only looking at a upper cat one in the gulf possibly a weak two. Just the water is a lot cooler then you guys think. Speed is also a factor.
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Hard to see that though maybe the far western tip of the Panhandle. Ridge across the SE into Fl and the SW Atlantic is really stacking from 850 up. I think with the weak upper low closing off and backing west across Tx if there is a big surprise in track it would likely be west.
Just from an educational prospective. When a system moves south from a projected track, does the system tend to slow down?
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As of today from the risk assessment office. The Mississippi River will overflow it’s banks south of Baton Rouge.
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