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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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WeatherWatch said:
All this talk of a sub 900mb not happening, may happen after all. Just because it's off the charts doesn't mean it can't happen. Either way, Irma will be one for the big dog record books.

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There's precedent for it when coming up from south of Miami, its just extremely rare.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Oh no. NO. The ridges are connecting... It's coming NW.
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FS - I thought we were friends ... :cool:
Phil
 
As i mentioned to someone ealier this has a great chance of being a west coast Fl scraper as well
 
I imagine that tomorrow we will have a much better idea since we will be within 5 days of potential landfall ? I don't trust anything beyond 5 days but if its within 5 days I think it is more accurate right ?
 
pcbjr said:
Yup ...
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If these models are still showing a hit on Miami this time tomorrow I would be getting ready to evacuate if I were in South FL, because you know if people wait to the last minute its going to be a disaster trying to get out of South FL.
 
Stayed on Shore longer instead of going back into the Atlantic!! I guess better news for Carolinas it will be a little weaker!!
 
To close to comfort. Each little west runs will be horrible even for are gulf coast peeps.
 
Meteorologist1999 said:
Stayed on Shore longer instead of going back into the Atlantic!! I guess better news for Carolinas it will be a little weaker!!
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Most likely flooding would be pretty devastating, even with a weak storm, due to oragraphic lift and SE flow, in the Carolinas and Virginias
 
lol 971 L just passing by to the west of me, don't buy that but even making it a 1011ish L would be pretty intense.
 
Remember this is just the OP run. Ens are next. Fluctuation will happen
 
If this verifies there will be serious flooding issues in East Georgia where it's already rained a lot this summer, and I mean a lot.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
lol 971 L just passing by to the west of me, don't buy that but even making it a 1011ish L would be pretty intense.
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Well, it's possible that it could be a 971. Irma will be coming in like a wreaking ball.

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WeatherWatch said:
Well, it's possible that it could be a 971. Irma will be coming in like a wreaking ball.

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IF these runs were to verify (and at this point at 18Z several days out, there is extreme emphasis on IF)... more like a freaking wrecking ball ... :confused:
 
Tarheel1 said:
Most likely flooding would be pretty devastating, even with a weak storm, due to oragraphic lift and SE flow, in the Carolinas and Virginias
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Yep not to mention the initial surge of waa would be going atop a wedge at the surface which would have precip falling well ahead of the system itself

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If I were in South FL and saw that there wasn't much change in the model runs by 12z tomorrow, I'd prepare to leave and leave on Wednesday. As it is I'm not but the rain that's been shown is making me nervous...
 
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