pcbjr
Member
Life is a beach ...Sorry, I work for school district!
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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
- Status
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Snippet from the advisory.
Users are reminded to not focus on the exact forecast track since
strong winds and heavy rainfall extend well away from the center.
In fact, ASCAT data that arrived after the issuance of the previous
advisory indicated that the size of the tropical-storm-force wind
field has expanded, especially over the northern semicircle. As a
result, the initial and forecast wind radii have been adjusted
accordingly.
Users are reminded to not focus on the exact forecast track since
strong winds and heavy rainfall extend well away from the center.
In fact, ASCAT data that arrived after the issuance of the previous
advisory indicated that the size of the tropical-storm-force wind
field has expanded, especially over the northern semicircle. As a
result, the initial and forecast wind radii have been adjusted
accordingly.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
UKMET Ensembles... A lot more hits on the Greater Antilles, including Hispaniola...
NWMSGuy
Member
Wow! Even those paths south of Cuba. Insane!
Yeah, I love free beach trips....
I know. It's just as bad hearing you ask for a blizzard in your backyard. So annoying.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Eye pass 1, seems to support satellite estimates.
212700 1726N 04949W 7000 02775 9588 +171 +116 141029 034 033 003 00
212730 1727N 04948W 6969 02827 9606 +165 +116 144042 046 038 002 00
212800 1729N 04947W 6966 02852 9641 +151 +123 141058 061 054 004 00
212830 1731N 04946W 6983 02857 9681 +139 +136 142072 077 085 023 00
212900 1733N 04945W 6957 02925 9718 +139 +136 138088 090 098 035 00
212930 1735N 04944W 6953 02968 9782 +118 //// 134086 090 098 036 01
213000 1737N 04942W 6953 02998 9836 +104 //// 128095 096 087 052 01
213030 1739N 04941W 6965 03016 9865 +110 +103 125093 095 081 039 00
213100 1740N 04940W 6967 03034 9889 +110 +097 128087 090 069 014 00
212700 1726N 04949W 7000 02775 9588 +171 +116 141029 034 033 003 00
212730 1727N 04948W 6969 02827 9606 +165 +116 144042 046 038 002 00
212800 1729N 04947W 6966 02852 9641 +151 +123 141058 061 054 004 00
212830 1731N 04946W 6983 02857 9681 +139 +136 142072 077 085 023 00
212900 1733N 04945W 6957 02925 9718 +139 +136 138088 090 098 035 00
212930 1735N 04944W 6953 02968 9782 +118 //// 134086 090 098 036 01
213000 1737N 04942W 6953 02998 9836 +104 //// 128095 096 087 052 01
213030 1739N 04941W 6965 03016 9865 +110 +103 125093 095 081 039 00
213100 1740N 04940W 6967 03034 9889 +110 +097 128087 090 069 014 00
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Pressure is 11mb lower than estimated by the NHC, 958mb...
whatalife
Moderator
Storm5
Member
Storm5
Member
Shane brings up a good point the storm is already North of model guidance so we could easily see a shift back to the NE
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Brent
Member
Once the eye closes this is gonna take off
Brent
Member
Gfs is south again
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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Where did opal originate from in '96?(wasn't it?). Only storm I can recall that I experienced hurricane force gusts up this way (low range ones) and had no power for school almost 2 weeks. That was a mess. Keep Irma away!
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Brent
Member
Opal formed near the Yucatan and came northeast out of the bay of campeche
Cary_Snow95
Member
trough is much faster this run
Unless N corrections start happening, this is gonna end up in the gulf, if trends continue the next few days! Maybe fresh data fine the hurricane hunters will help pin down a track!?
Cary_Snow95
Member
This run is way south
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