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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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Damn Charlie where's my shirt for winning March Madness!?!


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Yeah - I'm looking for an answer since I've seen it said both ways, and frankly, this is one on which have no clue (among perhaps many other things ... LOL)
Since the aircraft are in there pretty much non stop the will get the data into the models.every run. Just depends on how much and how good the data is. The G-IV data is the most important right now for the models imo.
 
Won't learn much from the GEFS . The ensembles have such a large spread right now that a big east track or a big west would fit inside the ensemble envelope .

Such a huge model spread among the OPs

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Got that right, the mean is actually west of 12z. Must be some huge west outliers.
 
That dropsonde means we might have the strongest atlantic hurricane on record by wind

May keep it at 185 though
 
This seems so unreal, winds that high. Defiantly in the end times.
 
This seems so unreal, winds that high. Defiantly in the end times.
Good grief. Just because Irma is on course to be the strongest hurricane on record(wind wise) doesn't mean some biblical apocalypse is upon us. Plus they only started keeping record since 1851. I'm sure somewhere down the line there was a stronger storm.
 
Good grief. Just because Irma is on course to be the strongest hurricane on record(wind wise) doesn't mean some biblical apocalypse is upon us. Plus they only started keeping record since 1851. I'm sure somewhere down the line there was a stronger storm.
I understand
 
Good grief. Just because Irma is on course to be the strongest hurricane on record(wind wise) doesn't mean some biblical apocalypse is upon us. Plus they only started keeping record since 1851. I'm sure somewhere down the line there was a stronger storm.
I can understand how some would think this is some sort of biblical apocalypse. I mean Harvey and now this ? Assuming this storm doesnt weaken dramatically, when''s the last time the US dealt with 2 storms the magnitude of Harvey and Irma in the same year ?
 
I can understand how some would think this is some sort of biblical apocalypse. I mean Harvey and now this ? Assuming this storm doesnt weaken dramatically, when''s the last time the US dealt with 2 storms the magnitude of Harvey and Irma in the same year ?
The US went 12 years without a major hurricane making landfall. We were due
 
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