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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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What's the wind probability for birmi than area?? With that euro

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Thats some incredible weakening, from 155 to 130 in 3 hours. Can we expect another 25 mph drop from 8am to 11am?
 
This may throw somewhat of a wrench in the intensity forecast, but I fully expect it to restrengthen as the eye moves farther off the coast of Cuba. But how much will it restrengthen? At any rate, it is still a category 4 and nothing to mess with.

Of course, according to Spann, the hurricane is still 155 mph right now and behaving just as expected!
 
This will put Irma at least top 3, pretty historic storm.
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Looking a bit ragged this morning Cuba doing a number

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Yeah, I know 130 is still strong, but Cuba did put a dent in Irma! It'll be a watch and see , if she can regain strength to a cat 4 or 5, sometimes they just don't recover as expected or modeled
 
This may throw somewhat of a wrench in the intensity forecast, but I fully expect it to restrengthen as the eye moves farther off the coast of Cuba. But how much will it restrengthen? At any rate, it is still a category 4 and nothing to mess with.

Of course, according to Spann, the hurricane is still 155 mph right now and behaving just as expected!
Spann also says AL is on the good side. Despite the track going right through AL and leaving parts of AL on the right side.
 
Yeah, I know 130 is still strong, but Cuba did put a dent in Irma! It'll be a watch and see , if she can regain strength to a cat 4 or 5, sometimes they just don't recover as expected or modeled

Harvey landfalled around the strength of Irma now. Just some perspective


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Im not sure how much longer she will continue this rate of weakening but assuming she continues to decrease by 25 mph every 3 hours that would leave her at 80 mph by 2pm.
 
Spann also says AL is on the good side. Despite the track going right through AL and leaving parts of AL on the right side.
Bad thing is, this storm is bad all around with how big she is. I know the right side is normally the worst but dang she a powerhouse all around.
 
Im not sure how much longer she will continue this rate of weakening but assuming she continues to decrease by 25 mph every 3 hours that would leave her at 80 mph by 2pm.
Yeah, it's a dud, your forecast for Monday and Tuesday partly cloudy , winds 10-15 mph! :(
 
It surprises me that they didnt take into account land interaction when forecasting intensity. I was watching last night and puzzled as to how she would stay so strong despite being over or near land for so long.
 
To be honest tho, short term movement on I think all models had her making more of a “landfall” and actually getting into a Cuba a little ways. I don’t see that happening right now. More of “skirting” Cuba at the moment.
 
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